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L.A. Lakers vs. Sacramento Kings Pick and Betting Odds

The 27-53 Sacramento Kings host the 21-59 L.A. Lakers in a Western Conference match up on 4/13/2015 at Sleep Train Arena, Sacramento, CA; Tipoff is at 10:00 PM ET.

Wagering Odds

Point Spread: Kings -3.5
Over/Under Total Line: 206

In their last game the Lakers were at home and lost to the Dallas Mavericks 120-106 where they did not cover as a 5-point underdog. In their previous game they did cover the spread and in their last 10 games they have an ATS record of 3-6-1. The total for the Mavericks game went Over, which is the 3rd straight games where that has been the winning wager. In their last 10 games L.A. has an O/U record of 6-4. Overall, the Lakers have lost 8 of their last 10 games.

This season the Lakers are 17-21-2 ATS at home and 19-18-3 ATS on the road. In their last 5 road games they are only 2-2-1 ATS, but in their last 12 on the road they have been a solid bet at 8-3-1 ATS. The Under has been the slightly better bet for L.A. on the season with a home O/U record of 19-20-1 and a road O/U record of 18-21-1. In 3 of their last 4 road games the posted total has gone Over including their last one.

The Kings were on the road for their last game where they lost to the Denver Nuggets 122-111 where they did not cover as a 9-point underdog. They did cover in their previous game, but in their last 5 overall they are 1-3-1 ATS. The total for the Nuggets game went Over and that has been the winning bet in 4 of Denver’s last 5 games. In their last 10 games Sacramento is 4-5-1 ATS with an O/U record of 5-5. The Kings have lost 3 straight games overall and are 2-8 in their last 10 games.

On the season the Kings have not been a good bet at home (15-23-2 ATS) or on the road (16-23-1 ATS). They have failed to cover the spread in their last 2 home games. Sacramento has a O/U home record of 21-19 and a O/U road record of 23-17. In their last 2 home games the posted total has gone Over both times.

This is the 3rd game of the season between these 2 teams with each team winning once at home. In the game in L.A. the Lakers won, but the Kings covered the spread with the total going Under and in the game in Sacramento the Lakers one with the game a push with the total going Over.

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Some other angles to consider:

The Lakers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against the Kings in Sacramento.

The Lakers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games against the Kings.

In the last 26 games between these teams in Sacramento the Over record is 18-7-1.

This season the Kings are 17-23 at home and the Lakers are 9-31 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

L.A. Lakers: 21-59 SU / 36-39-5 ATS
Sacramento Kings: 27-53 SU / 31-46-3 ATS

L.A.Lakers at Sacramento Kings Betting Trends

• LA is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
• LA is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• LA has an Under record of 11-5 in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss.
• SAC is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.
• SAC is 6-18-3 ATS in their last 27 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• SAC has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Sagarin Rankings

L.A. Lakers: 83.93
Sacramento Kings: 86.06

Injury Report

LAKERS

[G] 04/12/2015 – Jeremy Lin out for season ( Knee )
[F] 04/04/2015 – Nick Young out for season ( Knee )
[G] 04/02/2015 – Wayne Ellington out for season ( Shoulder )
[G] 02/24/2015 – Ronnie Price out indefinitely ( Elbow )
(!)[G] 01/22/2015 – Kobe Bryant out for season ( Shoulder )
[F] 10/28/2014 – Julius Randle out for season ( Tibia )
[G] 10/23/2014 – Steve Nash out for season ( Back )

KINGS

(!)[C] 04/11/2015 – DeMarcus Cousins out for season ( Foot )
(!)[F] 04/11/2015 – Rudy Gay out for season ( Concussion )
[F] 04/12/2015 – Reggie Evans “?” Monday vs. LA Lakers ( Thumb )
(!)[G] 02/26/2015 – Darren Collison out for season ( Hip )
[F] 01/01/2015 – Eric Moreland out for season ( Shoulder )

Tough call in this game with both teams losing 8 of their last 10 games, but even on the road I have to go with the Lakers. They have been a decent bet as of late on the road and the Kings have lost 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 games. In their last 3 games they only faced one team with a winning record in the Oklahoma City Thunder where they lost by 13 points.

These 2 teams end the regular season in a meeting in L.A. and tonight the Lakers may not win, but they will cover the spread.

Take the LAKERS -3.5

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