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Kentucky vs. UConn Betting Odds – Final Pick

Time: 9 PM EST Monday April 7, 2014, CBS

Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

The Kentucky Wildcats face the UCONN Huskies in the NCAA title game.

In their last games: Kentucky beat Wisconsin 74-73 and UCONN beat Florida 63-53.

In their win over Wisconsin Kentucky outscored the Badgers by 5 points in the 2nd half, they shot 50% from the floor, and Aaron Harrison hit the game winning 3-pointer with 5.7 seconds left in the game.

In their win over Florida UCONN played a great game on both ends of the floor shooting 55.8% from the floor and they held the Gators to 38.8% shooting.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Kentucky is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games and UCONN is 14-3 ATS in their last 17 NCAA Tournament games.

Both teams have beaten higher seeds to meeting the NCAA title game, as UCONN is the 7th seed from the East Region and Kentucky is the 8th seed from the Midwest Region.

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams the underdog has covered the spread every time.

UCONN has covered the spread in every NCAA Tournament game this season.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Kentucky -2.5
Total Line: 134.5
Money Line: Wildcats -130 / Huskies +110

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Kentucky Wildcats: 29-10 SU 19-15-3 ATS
UCONN Huskies: 31-8 SU 22-15 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• UK is 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• UK is 8-1-2 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games.
• UK has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.
• UCONN is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
• UCONN is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• UCONN has an Under record of 15-4 in their last 19 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Kentucky Wildcats: 90.85
UCONN Huskies: 90.04

Key Player Injuries

WILDCATS
[F] 04/04/2014 – Willie Cauley-Stein is downgraded to doubtful ( Ankle )

HUSKIES
No injuries to report at this time.

Betting Pick:

I’ve been going back and forth on the sides for this game and I just can’t make a strong enough argument for either team. The total is different story. While I have been impressed with the Wildcats’ offense the Huskies are playing knockout defense. That’s not to say that UConn will have an easy time of it with Kentucky’s size and speed, but they did hold an athletic Michigan State team to 54 points and I think they’ll slow the game down enough to hold the Wildcats in the low 60’s.
Some of you may be concerned with the 73 points put up by Wisconsin, but c’mon the Wildcats got into foul trouble in the first half and sat players allowing Wisconsin to put up 40. In the second half with their starters in for most of the half they held the Badgers to 33 point and don’t forget that Wisconsin were lights out from the charity stripe sinking 19 of 20 free throws.
Take the UNDER 135

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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