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Kentucky Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines ATS Pick

Time: 5:05 PM EST Sunday March 30, 2014, CBS

Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Indiana

In the Elite 8 match up in the Midwest Region the 8th seed Kentucky Wildcats face the 2nd seed Michigan Wolverines.

In their last games: Kentucky beat Louisville 74-69 and Michigan beat Tennessee 73-71.

In their win over Louisville Kentucky did not have a great shooting game and they did not play great defense, but they pulled down 15 offensive rebounds and they were 22/27 from the free throw line.

Michigan jumped out to a 11 point halftime lead in the win over Tennessee and while they did not play good defense the Wolverines shot 55.1% from the floor and hit on 11 of their 20 3-pointers.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Kentucky has won 5 of their last 6 games with their only loss coming to top-ranked Florida in the SEC tournament final.

Kentucky has covered the spread in all 3 of their NCAA Tournament games this season.

In their last 2 games Kentucky knocked off the region’s top-seed in Wichita State and defending tournament champion Louisville.

Michigan is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 NCAA Tournament games.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Kentucky -2
Total Line: 138.5
Money Line: Wildcats -140 / Wolverines +120

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Kentucky Wildcats: 27-10 SU 18-15-2 ATS
Michigan Wolverines: 28-8 SU 18-14-2 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• UK is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• UK is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• UK has an Over record of 4-3 in their last 7 games.
• MICH is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• MICH is 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
• MICH has an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Kentucky Wildcats: 89.54
Michigan Wolverines: 90.26

Key Player Injuries

[G] 03/24/2014 – Andrew Harrison probable ( Elbow )

[F] 12/27/2013 – Mitch McGary out indefinitely ( Back )

ATS Pick:

Kentucky should be full of confidence after trailing early by 14 and fighting back late to get the win. The Cardinals’ shooting from the line was their undoing, shooting only 56.5% from the charity stripe. But, what the Wildcats did on defense against Louisville’s 3 point shooters holding them to 4 of 15 was also a key factor in the outcome. Kentucky has played solid perimeter defense all season and we feel that will decide this game. Like the Vols the Wildcats are bigger and should own inside the paint so scoring shouldn’t be an issue.
Take the Kentucky Wildcats -2.

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