Kansas State Wildcats vs. TCU Horned Frogs Point Spread Pick
- Updated: November 5, 2014
Time: 7:30 PM EST Saturday November 8, 2014, FOX
In their last games Kansas State beat Oklahoma State 48-14 and TCU beat West Virginia 31-30.
Kansas State comes into this game on a 6-game point spread run to bring their ATS mark to 6-2 on the season and straight up record to 7-1 with the only loss being 20-14 to Auburn.
Like K-State TCU has been padding bettor’s bank rolls this season with 7 straight covers to open up the schedule before failing to cover the 3.5 line last week on the road against West Virginia. The Horned Frogs have one loss on the season an unlikely 61-58 road loss to Baylor that they lead by a large margin late in the game.
In this series they have met two times with Kansas State getting the win in both games, but failing to cover last season in a very close 33-31 victory as a 12-point betting favorite.
This season TCU is 5-0 straight up and 4-1 ATS at home and Kansas State is 2-0 SU and 1-1 versus the number on the road.
Point Spread: TCU -4.5
Over/Under Total Line: OFF
Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Kansas State: 7-1 SU 6-2 ATS
TCU: 7-1 SU 7-1 ATS
Key Betting Trends
• KSU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• KSU is 20-5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• KSU has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
• TCU is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• TCU is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• TCU has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
Sagarin Power Rankings
Kansas State: 90.26
Key Player Injuries
[DB] 10/15/2014 – Travis Green out indefinitely ( Leg )
[LB] 10/29/2014 – Charmeachealle Moore out for season ( Undisclosed )
[DL] 08/06/2014 – Devonte Fields out indefinitely ( Disciplinary )
[RB] 08/14/2014 – Shaun Nixon out indefinitely ( Knee )
[OL] 09/22/2014 – Frank Kee out indefinitely ( Shoulder )
[RB] 11/02/2014 – B.J. Catalon “?” Saturday vs. Kansas State ( Shoulder )
[WR] 11/02/2014 – Deante’ Gray “?” Saturday vs. Kansas State ( Undisclosed )
[DL] 11/02/2014 – Josh Carraway “?” Saturday vs. Kansas State ( Undisclosed )
[QB] 10/27/2014 – Matt Joeckel out indefinitely ( Leg )
Kansas State @ West Virginia
TCU @ Kansas
Free College ATS Pick
Three of the Horned Frogs games have been decided by 4 or fewer points with all three coming against top level Big 12 competition and K-State certainly fits that bill. Keep in mind that Kansas State’s only loss came by 6 to a very strong Auburn team. They can win this game and may not even need the 6 points. However, I’ll take the cautious approach and the points offered.
Take the Kansas State Wildcats +6