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NCAA Free Betting Pick: Kansas State Wildcats vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Time: 9:40 PM EST Friday March 21, 2014, CBS

Location: Scottrade Center, St. Louis, Missouri

The 8th seed Kansas State Wildcats face the 9th seed Kentucky Wildcats in the 2nd round of the Midwest Region.

In their last games: Kansas State lost to Iowa State 91-85 in the Big 12 conference tournament and Kentucky lost to Florida 61-60 in the SEC tournament.

In their loss to Iowa State Kansas State shot the ball well, but allowed the Cyclones to shoot 50% from the floor and grab 15 offensive rebounds.

In their loss to Florida Kentucky was down 10 points at halftime and for the game they struggled on offense with a FG% of 35.3%.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Kansas State lost their last 3 games of the season.

Kentucky lost 4 of their last 7 games of the season.

Kentucky was 1-6 this season facing ranked teams.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Kentucky -6
Total Line: 132.5
Money Line: Kansas State +220 / Kentucky -260

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Kansas State Wildcats: 20-12 SU 16-13-1 ATS
Kentucky Wildcats: 24-10 SU 15-15-2 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• KSU is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• KSU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• KSU has an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• UK is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
• UK is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
• UK has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Kansas State Wildcats: 87.45
Kentucky Wildcats: 83.53

Key Player Injuries

KANSAS STATE
No Injuries to report at this time.

KENTUCKY
No Injuries to report at this time.

Betting Pick:

Florida barely held off a late surge by Kentucky in the SEC final as this young team continues to develop and goes into the NCAA tournament as a very dangerous team. K-State has struggled away from home with a 5-10 record overall which includes 3-3 on a neutral court. Four of the five wins were predictable against inferior competition with the only quality win coming at a neutral site over Gonzaga. This line opened at 4 has been bet up to Kentucky -6 which is a bit on the high side for our liking.
Lean to the Kentucky Wildcats -6

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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