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Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Pick

Time: 9:07 PM EST Thursday October 2, 2014 TBS

Location: Angel Stadium of Anaheim, Anaheim, California

The L.A. Angels host the Kansas City Royals in an American League playoff match up.

In their last games: The Royals beat the Oakland A’s 9-8 and the Angels lost to the Seattle Mariners 4-1.

The Royals came back from down 1 run in the 9th inning and then in the 12th inning in their 9-8 win over the A’s.

The Angels’ offense only had 4 hits and scored 1 run in their 4-1 loss to the Mariners.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Royals are 0-4 in Jason Vargas’ last 4 starts.

The Angels are 42-12 in Jared Weaver’s last 54 home starts.

The Angels are 6-0 in Weaver’s last 6 starts against the Royals.

The Angels are 7-3 in their last 10 games against the Royals.

Pitching Match Up

Kansas City: Jason Vargas (11-10, 3.71 ERA)
Los Angeles: Jared Weaver (18-9, 3.59 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Orioles +145 / Tigers -155
Run Line: Tigers -1.5 +135
Total Line: Under 7 -105

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

Kansas City Royals: 90-73 SU / O/U 74-81 / Run Line W/L 89-74
L.A. Angels: 98-64 SU / O/U 80-77 / Run Line W/L 86-76

Key Betting Trends

• KC is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• KC is 6-2 in their last 8 road games.
• KC has an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 games.
• LA is 41-17 in their last 58 home games.
• LA is 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
• LA has an Under record of 26-12 in their last 38 home games.

Key Player Injuries

ROYALS
Luke Hochevar Left elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(3/21)
Michael Mariot Strained right hamstring on 60-day DL(8/28)

ANGELS
Ryan Brasier Right elbow strain on 60-day DL(3/21)
Sean Burnett Torn left UCL – out for season on 60-day DL(5/28)
Brian Moran Left elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(3/21)
Garrett Richards Torn left patellar tendon on 60-day DL(8/21)
Tyler Skaggs Left elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(8/1)

Free MLB Total Pick

We’re a little worried about the Angels’ starter Shoemaker and his tender oblique muscles, but we have to believe that the team would sit him out if it was serious. So having covered that, both of these pitchers have been sharp with Shoemaker being exceptional allowing 1 or fewer runs in 5 of his last 6 starts. Kansas City starter Yordano Ventura was on a huge run of quality starts registering 11 consecutive before allowing 4 runs in 4 innings in his last start of the season. Last night’s game stayed under the posted total of 7.5 and tonight’s starters along with an “under favoring” umpire have us on the same side of the total tonight.

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