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Kansas City Royals vs. San Diego Padres Moneyline Pick

Time: 10:10 PM EST Tuesday May 6, 2014

Location: Petco Park, San Diego, California

The San Diego Padres host the Kansas City Royals in an interleague match up.

In their last games: In Game 1 of this 3-game series yesterday the Padres beat the Royals 6-5 in 12 innings.

In Game 1 yesterday Will Venable hit a 2-run single in the 12th inning to give the Padres the win.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 10 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 8 times.

The Padres are 7-0 in their last 7 home games against the Royals.

The Royals are 1-6 in Jeremy Guthrie’s last 7 starts as a road underdog.

The Padres are 0-4 in Robbie Erlin’s last 4 starts.

Pitching Match Up
Kansas City Royals: Jeremy Guthrie (2-2, 4.50 ERA)
San Diego Padres: Robbie Erlin (1-4, 5.83 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Royals +110 / Padres -120
Run Line: San Diego -1.5 +185
Total Line: 7 Under (-125)

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
San Diego Padres: 14-17 SU / O/U 16-14 / Run Line W/L 17-14
Kansas City Royals: 15-18 SU / O/U 8-22 / Run Line W/L 16-17

Key Betting Trends
• KC is 0-5 in their last 5 overall.
• KC is 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games.
• KC has an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
• SD is 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games.
• SD is 5-2 in their last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
• SD has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games as a favorite.

Key Player Injuries

Salvador Perez C Out May 4 leg Day-to-day
Bruce Chen SP D.L. May 2 back Out indefinitely
Francisley Bueno RP D.L. Apr 7 Late April?
Luke Hochevar RP D.L. Mar 29 elbow 2015

Chase Headley 3B D.L. Apr 25 calf Mid-May?
Casey Kelly SP D.L. Mar 29 elbow making rehab starts
Carlos Quentin OF D.L. Mar 29 knee Mid-May?
Josh Johnson SP D.L. Mar 29 elbow 2015
Joe Wieland SP D.L. Mar 29 elbow Mid-July?
Cory Luebke SP D.L. Mar 7 elbow 2015

Moneyline Pick:

Neither starter has impressed this season, but Padres’ lefty Robbie Erlin did have a quality start in his last outing against the Giants. Erlin may be able to duplicate his last start tonight against the Royals who have struggled against left-handed pitching this season hitting .240 and averaging 2.45 runs per 9 innings. Kansas City has lost 5 in a row and there isn’t any reason to indicate a reversal of form at Petco Park this evening. Take San Diego -120.

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