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Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers – Point Spread Pick

Time: 12:00 PM EST Friday November 29, 2013, Big Ten Network

The Nebraska Cornhuskers host the Iowa Hawkeyes in a Big 10 Legends divisional match-up.

In their last games Iowa beat Michigan 24-21 at home as a 6 point favorite. Nebraska needed extra time to get past Penn State 23-20 on the road as a 1 point underdog.

In their last meeting the CornHuskers beat the Hawkeyes 13-7 in a tight defensive battle last Nov 23/12 in Iowa as a 14.5 point favorite. These 2 teams have only faced each other 4 times since 1999 with the Cornhuskers winning all 4.

The big question is this contest will the Cornhuskers’s strong running attack 19th in the nation be able to get past the tough Hawkeyes defense. Iowa D is 10th in yards allowed, 11th against the pass and 20th against the run. The Hawkeyes have only allowed 4 rushing touchdowns in 11 games this year.

This season Nebraska is 5-2 at home and Iowa is 3-1 on the road.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes
Point Spread: Nebraska -3
Over/Under Total Line: 47.5
Moneyline: Hawkeyes +110 / Cornhuskers -150

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Iowa Hawkeyes: 7-4 SU 6-5 ATS
Nebraska Cornhuskers: 8-3 SU 6-5 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• Iowa is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
• Iowa is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Iowa is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Nebraska is 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Nebraska is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 Friday games.
• Nebraska has gone Under in 5 of their last 7 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Iowa Hawkeyes: 77.88
Nebraska Cornhuskers: 74.62

Key Player Injuries

[RB] 11/23/2013 – Michael Malloy Ques Friday (Illness)
[DL] 11/26/2013 – Dominic Alvis Doub Friday (Back)
[C] 11/26/2013 – Macon Plewa Doub Friday (Back)

[QB] 11/26/2013 – Tommy Armstrong Jr. Ques Friday (Ankle)
[QB] 11/24/2013 – Taylor Martinez Ques Friday (Hip)
[OL] 11/24/2013 – Jake Cotton Ques Friday (Knee)
[DT] 11/24/2013 – Thaddeus Randle Ques Friday (Undisclosed)
[OL] 11/26/2013 – Mike Moudy Doub Friday (Undisclosed)
[CB] 11/20/2013 – Daniel Davis Out for the season (Knee)
[LB] 9/3/2013 – Courtney Love Out indefinitely (Undisclosed)
[DT] 8/19/2013 – Kevin Williams Out for the season (Knee)

Point Spread Selection : Iowa has losses on the season, however all 4 losses have come against ranked teams who have a combined record of 41-3 on the year. The Hawkeyes have an impressive 20th ranked rushing defense and they haven’t exactly faced a cup cake schedule. The have played against the powerful rushing attacks of No. 5 Ohio State, No. 7 Northern Illinois and No. 8 Wisconsin. Mind you they did lose those games, but were in the game into the 4th quarter against the Buckeyes and lost by 3 in their season opener against the Huskies.
The Cornhuskers have somehow won 3 games out of their last 5 with a combined turnover margin of -13. They caught a break in the scheduling facing only one quality team in Michigan State in that stretch. In fact the Cornhuskers have had an easy go of it all season avoiding top Big 10 programs Ohio State and Wisconsin. Which begs the question, who did Nebraska beat? Every time the Cornhuskers have faced a quality opponent such as their 41-21 loss to UCLA, 34-23 loss to Minnesota and a 41-28 loss to top quality team Michigan State. We believe Iowa is a quality opponent and are just a notch below the Big 10’s top programs of Ohio State, Wisconsin and Michigan State. Remember that the Hawkeyes gave the Buckeyes all they could handle for 3+ quarters in Columbus earlier this season.
Take the Iowa Hawkeyes +3 at 5Dimes and get reduced juice on every play.

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