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Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Illinois Fighting Illini ATS Prediction

Time: 7:30 PM EST Saturday February 1, 2014, BTN

Location: State Farm Center, Champaign, Illinois

The Illinois Fighting Illini host the 15th ranked Iowa Hawkeyes in a Big 10 match up.

In their last games: Illinois lost to Indiana 56-46 and Iowa lost to Michigan State 71-69 in OT.

In their loss to Indiana Illinois played decent defense, but they were ice cold shooting 33.3% from the floor and they only hit on 5 of their 23 3-pointers.

In their loss to Michigan State Iowa only shot 37.5% from the floor and they allowed the Spartans to come back from a 4-point halftime deficit to force OT.

The last time these 2 teams met was in Iowa last season when the Hawkeyes beat the Fighting Illini 63-55.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Illinois defense will be dealing with an Iowa team that ranks 8th in the nation in scoring and 3rd in the nation in rebounding.

The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between these 2 teams.

Illinois is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Iowa.

Illinois has won 11 straight home games against Iowa and has not lost them at home since the 1999 season.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Iowa -4.5
Total Line: 138.5
Money Line: Hawkeyes -200 / Fighting Illini +170

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Iowa Hawkeyes: 16-5 SU 12-7 ATS
Illinois Fighting Illini: 13-8 SU 8-8-4 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• IOWA is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• IOWA is 20-9 ATS in their last 29 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• IOWA has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• ILL is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• ILL is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• ILL has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Iowa Hawkeyes: 90.69
Illinois Fighting Illini: 80.17

No injuries to report at this time.

[G] 01/31/2014 – Tracy Abrams probable Saturday ( Back )

Point Spread Pick:

The Illini sure didn’t look impressive in January losing 6 out 7 games overall and only 1-2 as a host. On the season though they are 10-2 at home and do have a quality win over Missouri. Iowa certainly hasn’t impressed as a visitor with a 3-3 record, but the road schedule was tough. Losses by 3 to Iowa State, by 4 to Wisconsin and by 8 to Michigan are not signals to us that they play inferior ball away from home. Illinois’ recent play plus the Hawkeyes’ tendency to win by wide margins has us siding with the favorite.

Take the Iowa Hawkeyes -4.5

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