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Indianapolis Colts vs. San Diego Chargers Betting Preview – Point Spread Pick

Time: 8:30 PM EST Monday October 14, 2013, ESPN / WatchESPN

The San Diego Chargers host the Indianapolis Colts in a Monday night AFC match up.

In their last games the Colts beat the Seattle Seahawks 34-28 and the Chargers lost to the Oakland Raiders 27-17.

The Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against the Colts.

While Phillip Rivers leads a great passing offense the Chargers’ defense only ranks 27th against the pass and 24th against the run.

The Colts have a Jekyll and Hyde defense, as they have been great against the pass, but horrible against the run.

The Underdog has covered the spread in the last 8 games between these 2 teams.

This season the Chargers are 1-1 at home and the Colts are 2-0 on the road.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes
Point Spread: Colts -1.5
Over/Under Total Line: 50
Moneyline: Colts -105 / Chargers +125

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Indianapolis Colts: 4-1 SU 3-2 ATS
San Diego Chargers: 2-3 SU 3-1-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• IND is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
• IND is 8-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• IND has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 road games.
• SD is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• SD is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
• SD has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 games overall.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Colts 25.58
Chargers: 18.77

Key Player Injuries

COLTS
Bjoern Werner LB Out Sep 29 foot Out 4-6 weeks
Pat Angerer LB Probable Sep 28 knee Will play
Ricky Jean-Francois DL Out Sep 22 groin Out 1-2 weeks
LaRon Landry DB Out Sep 20 ankle Week to week
David Reed WR Out Aug 29 concussion Day to day

CHARGERS
Jarret Johnson LB Out Oct 6 leg
Ryan Mathews RB Out Oct 6 concussion Status Uncertain
Jeromey Clary T Out Sep 27 clavicle
Eddie Royal WR Probable Sep 22 –
King Dunlap T Out Sep 22 concussion Week to week
Donald Butler LB Out Sep 22 groin Week to week
D.J. Fluker T Out Sep 19 concussion Week to week

Next Game
Colts vs. Broncos
Chargers @ Jaguars

Point Spread Selection : It would be easy to just declare the Colts the better team here and leave it that. The thing is that this is the NFL where any team can win on any given Sunday. Realize that the Colts were outplayed for most of the game last Week against the Seahawks, but somehow managed the win. The victory that probably has them feeling a little too good about themselves. Overconfidence surely would not be something the Chargers would be feeling after their embarrassing road loss to the Raiders on Sunday night. San Diego finished the night -5 in turnovers and while you could say that Rivers was reverting to last season’s form with his 3 INT we’re not so sure about that. This week the offensive line while not completely back to health but is starting to come around with guard Chad Rinehart maybe being the only starter not on the field on Monday night. Ryan Matthews will be back as he practiced in full on Friday. We will be putting a little money on San Diego +100 on the ML, but our main play is going to be on the total. The Indianapolis Colts have scored an average of 27.8 points per game which ranks 6th in the league. The San Diego Chargers have also been lighting up the scoreboard with 25 per game. On the defensive side of things, the Colts numbers are skewed with one game versus the Jaguars and one versus the 49ers who’s offensive player injury list was extensive. They do sit at No. 5 in scoring with 15.8 PPG but 23 PPG excluding the SF and Jax games. The Chargers are an ugly 19th in scoring average with 25.8 PPG. Look for both teams to have no problem putting up points on the board and for this game to sail over the total. Take Over 50.5 points at 5Dimes and get reduced juice on every play.

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