Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots Betting
- Updated: January 15, 2015
Time: 6:40 PM EST Sunday January 18, 2015, CBS
In their last games the Colts beat the Denver Broncos 24-13 and the Patriots beat the Baltimore Ravens 35-31.
This season the Patriots are 8-1 at home and the Colts are 6-3 on the road.
The Colts and Pats met earlier this season with New England getting the easy 42-20 win back on November 16th racking up 501 total yards against Indianapolis with 244 yards on the ground!
Recent history in this series shows the Patriots owning the Colts winning three straight by margins of 22, 21 and 25 points and easily covering the closing spread line by 25, 15.5 and 15 points.
In the regular season the Colts were 11-5 straight up and a bankroll padding 10-5-1 against the betting line. The Patriots were 12-4 on the season and a solid 9-7 against versus the point spread odds. Against the over/under line both teams leaned towards the over with 9-7 records versus the total line.
Statistically New England holds a large edge in yards per point differential scoring a point for every 12.5 yards gained while allowing a point for every 17.6 points for a plus 5.1 mark. Indianapolis YPP numbers were 14.2 on offense and 14.9 on defense for a marginal plus 0.7 edge.
Point Spread: Patriots -7.5
Over/Under Total Line: 53.5
Moneyline: Colts +235 / Patriots -275
Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Indianapolis Colts: 13-5 SU 12-5-1 ATS
New England Patriots: 13-4 SU 9-8 ATS
Key Betting Trends
• INDY is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• INDY is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
• INDY has an Under record of 6-0 in their last 6 games.
• NE is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 playoff home games.
• NE is 2-5 ATS in their last 17 home games.
• NE has an Under record of 5-2 in their last 7 games.
Sagarin Power Rankings
Indianapolis Colts: 28.25
New England Patriots: 28.83
Key Player Injuries
[OG] 01/09/2015 – Hugh Thornton IR ( Shoulder )
[T] 01/01/2015 – Gosder Cherilus IR ( Groin )
[RB] 11/18/2014 – Ahmad Bradshaw IR ( Ankle )
[LB] 09/09/2014 – Robert Mathis IR ( Achilles )
[RB] 09/04/2014 – Vick Ballard IR ( Achilles )
[LB] 09/04/2014 – Aaron Morgan IR ( Undisclosed )
[G] 09/04/2014 – Donald Thomas IR ( Quad )
[DE] 09/04/2014 – Fili Moala IR ( Knee )
[RB] 01/12/2015 – Jonas Gray “?” Sunday vs. Indianapolis ( Ankle )
[CB] 01/12/2015 – Brandon Browner “?” Sunday vs. Indianapolis ( Knee )
[CB] 12/27/2014 – Alfonzo Dennard IR ( Hamstring )
[DT] 12/17/2014 – Dominique Easley IR ( Knee )
[WR] 12/04/2014 – Aaron Dobson IR ( Hamstring )
[RB] 10/14/2014 – Stevan Ridley IR ( Knee )
[LB] 10/14/2014 – Jerod Mayo IR ( Knee )
[LB] 09/23/2014 – Cameron Gordon IR ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 09/23/2014 – James Morris IR ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 09/04/2014 – Greg Orton IR ( Achilles )
[RB] 09/04/2014 – Tyler Gaffney IR ( Knee )
Winner of this game advances to the Super Bowl.
Free Prediction to Bet
We like the Patriots here.
You need to be able to have success running the ball on New England to have a chance for the victory and/or a point spread cover. We’re going to use 130 as the number of rushing yards as a minimum to be considered successful against the Pats. New England allowed 130 or more RYPG six times this season including their playoff win versus the Ravens last week. In those 6 games their record was a mediocre 3-3 straight up but a bankroll crushing 1-5 against the betting line. On the flip side in their other 10 games (tossing out Week 17’s meaningless game versus Buffalo) they’re 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS. The Colts have reached or surpassed 130 yards on the ground in three games this season with two of those coming against the 28th ranked Jaguars’ run defense.
Take the New England Patriots -6.5