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Indianapolis Colts vs. Denver Broncos Betting

Time: 4:40 PM EST Sunday January 11, 2015, CBS

In their last games the Colts beat the Cincinnati Bengals 26-10 and the Broncos beat the Oakland Raiders 47-14.

This season the Broncos are 8-0 at home and the Colts are 5-3 on the road.

These two teams kicked off the season on this very same field on September 7 with the Broncos getting the 31-24 win, but failing to cover the 8.5 points Denver backers had to lay. The 55 total points scored went over the closing total line of 53.5.

On the season the Colts were 11-5 straight up and were a very profitable bet going 10-5-1 against the spread. The Broncos were 12-4 on the season and a juice losing 8-8 versus the line. On the total side of things both teams were more likely to go over the total line with Indianapolis 9-7 to the over and Denver went over the total in 10 of their 16 games.

Both teams had no problem putting points on the board with the home team Broncos averaging 30.1 on the season and the Colts 28.6. Offensive yardage was not a problem for either team with Indianapolis averaging 406 yards and Denver 402.9 to rank 3rd and 4th respectively in the NFL. Defensively the points against were close with the Colts allowing 23.1 to the Broncos 22.1. Denver does have a big edge in rushing defense allowing opponents just 79.8 yards per game compared to the Colts’ 113.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Broncos -7
Over/Under Total Line: 54
Moneyline: Colts +245 / Broncos -290

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Indianapolis Colts: 12-5 SU 11-5-1 ATS
Denver Broncos: 12-4 SU 8-8 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• INDY is 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
• INDY is 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• INDY has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
• DEN is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 playoff games.
• DEN is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
• DEN has an Over record of 33-13-1 in their last 47 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Indianapolis Colts: 26.59
Denver Broncos: 28.86

Key Player Injuries

COLTS
[RB] 09/04/2014 – Vick Ballard IR ( Achilles )
[T] 01/01/2015 – Gosder Cherilus out for season ( Groin )
[OG] 01/04/2015 – Hugh Thornton “?” Sunday vs. Denver ( Shoulder )
[LB] 09/04/2014 – Aaron Morgan IR ( Undisclosed )
[G] 09/04/2014 – Donald Thomas IR ( Quad )
[DE] 09/04/2014 – Fili Moala IR ( Knee )
[LB] 09/09/2014 – Robert Mathis IR ( Achilles )
[RB] 11/18/2014 – Ahmad Bradshaw IR ( Ankle )

BRONCOS

[RB] 11/17/2014 – Montee Ball IR ( Groin )
[LB] 11/13/2014 – Nate Irving IR ( Knee )
[DE] 09/23/2014 – Kenny Anunike IR ( Elbow )
[LB] 12/16/2014 – Danny Trevathan IR ( Knee )
[S] 12/13/2014 – Quinton Carter IR ( Knee )
[LB] 01/04/2015 – Brandon Marshall “?” Sunday vs. Indianapolis ( Foot )
[T] 01/04/2015 – Orlando Franklin “?” Sunday vs. Indianapolis ( Concussion )
[DB] 01/04/2015 – T.J. Ward “?” Sunday vs. Indianapolis ( Neck )
[S] 01/04/2015 – David Bruton “?” Sunday vs. Indianapolis ( Concussion )
[WR] 09/04/2014 – Jordan Norwood IR ( Knee )

Next Game
Winner of this game advances to the AFC title game.

Indianapolis at Denver Free Pick to Bet

We can’t get over the rushing yardage differential. The Broncos outgain opponents on the ground by an average of 31.9 yards per game compared to the Colts being outgained by their opponents by 12.9 yards per game. That’s a big edge and with the line at -7 plus money at many sports books we feel that there is enough value with the home side to pull the trigger on this game.

Take the Denver Broncos -7

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