Indiana Pacers vs. Miami Heat Game 3 Total Pick
- Updated: May 22, 2014
Time: 8:30 PM EST Saturday May 24, 2014, ESPN
Location: American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida
The Miami Heat host the Indiana Pacers in Game 3 in an Eastern Conference finals series.
This best of 7 series is tied at 1 game apiece.
In their last games: In Game 2 the Heat beat the Pacers 87-83.
In their 4th quarter comeback in Game 2 Miami’s LeBron James and Dwyane Wade combining for 22 points on 9/12 shooting. For the game the Heat shot 50.7% from the field and held the Pacers to a FG% of 40%.
Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:
In the last 8 games between these 2 teams in Miami the total has gone Under 6 times.
The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games between these 2 teams.
In Game 2 the Indiana FW duo of David West and Paul George only combined for 9/32 shooting for 24 points.
Point Spread: Miami -7
Total Line: 182.5
Money Line: Pacers +260 / Heat -320
Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Indiana Pacers: 65-32 SU 46-50-1 ATS
Miami Heat: 63-30 SU 44-47-2 ATS
Key Betting Trends
• IND is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• IND is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss.
• IND has an Under record of 5-1-1 in their last 7 road games.
• MIA is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• MIA is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
• MIA has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Sagarin Power Rankings
Indiana Pacers: 93.23
Miami Heat: 95.08
Key Player Injuries
Andrew Bynum C Sidelined Mar 17 knee Out indefinitely
Evan Turner G/F Sidelined May 18 illness Day-to-day
Greg Oden C Sidelined May 18 undisclosed Day-to-day
The Pacers have trouble scoring in the best of times and may be without forward Paul George in Game 3. They could only muster 83 points on 40% shooting in Game 2 and may be hard pressed to increase the scoring number on Saturday. The Heat held the Nets to 87.3 point per game at the American Airlines Arena and in my opinion and the Pacers’ offense has less weapons and even more so if George can’t go. Miami has not hit the century mark against the Pacers in their last 10 games overall and last 4 as the host. Indiana is playing excellent defense on the road limiting the opposition to 84.8 points. The number is low, but I think I can justify a play on the under based on the recent playoff data. Take the UNDER 182.5.