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Houston Rockets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Total Prediction

Time: 8 PM EST Monday February 10, 2014, NBATV

Location: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota

The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Houston Rockets in a Western Conference match up.

In their last games: The Rockets beat the Milwaukee Bucks 101-95 and the Timberwolves lost to the Portland Trailblazers 117-110.

The Rockets did not look great in their win over the woeful Bucks, but they shot the ball decent and they forced Milwaukee into 18 turnovers.

The Timberwolves lost their 3rd straight in falling to the Blazers and in the game Kevin Love did not play and their D allowed the Blazers to shoot nearly 49% from the floor.

Earlier this season in Houston the Rockets beat the Timberwolves 112-101.


Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Rockets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games against the Timberwolves in Minnesota.

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under every time.

The Rockets have won 5 straight and are 8-2 in their last 10 games and the Timberwolves have dropped 3 in a row and are 4-6 in their last 10 games.

Kevin Love, Kevin Martin and Nikola Pekovic combine for nearly 60% of Minnesota’s 105.6 ppg and Love is questionable for tonight’s game while the other 2 players are out.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Houston -4.5
Total Line: 209
Money Line: Rockets -200 / Timberwolves +170

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Houston Rockets: 34-17 SU 26-23-2 ATS
Minnesota Timberwolves: 24-27 SU 26-25 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• HOU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• HOU is -2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
• HOU has an Under record of 6-2-1 in their last 9 road games.
• MINN is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• MINN is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• MINN has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Houston Rockets: 94.81
Minnesota Timberwolves: 92.11

Key Player Injuries

[F] 01/25/2014 – Greg Smith out indefinitely ( Knee )

[F] 02/09/2014 – Kevin Love Questionable Monday vs. Houston ( Quad )
[G] 02/08/2014 – Kevin Martin out indefinitely ( Thumb )
[C] 01/28/2014 – Nikola Pekovic out indefinitely ( Ankle )

Over/Under Total Pick:

It’s all about the “Kevin’s” tonight when the Timberwolves host the Rockets. Kevin Love is hoping to play and Kevin Martin is out. That’s a lot of points that may be out of the line-up if Love (stiff neck) can’t go. We think that when an official line comes out for this game the linemaker will have over compensated on the total for the injuries. Take the OVER 209.
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