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Hawaii Bowl Betting Preview – Point Spread Prediction

Time: 8 PM EST Tuesday December 24, 2013, ESPN

The Boise State Broncos from the MWC face the Oregon State Beavers from the PAC 12 in the Sheraton Hawaii Bowl at Aloha Stadium, in Honolulu, Hawaii.

In their last games of the season Boise State beat New Mexico 45-17 at home a 38 point favorite. Oregon State lost a tough battle with PAC 12 rival Oregon 36-35 at home. The 24 point favorite Ducks needed a Josh Huff 12 yard pass from Marcus Mariota with 29 seconds left in the game to avoid the upset.

Boise State and their 8th ranked defense really has one goal in this game and that is to contain a Oregon State passing offense that ranks 3rd in the nation.

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Oregon State lost their last 5 games on the season.

Oregon State’s Brandin Cooks won the Biletnikoff Award this season, which goes to the nation’s best WR.

The Oregon State run defense only ranks 91st in the nation and they will be facing Boise State RB Jay Ajayi, who rushed for 1,328 yards this season with 17 TD and rushed for over 100 yards in each of his last 2 games.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes
Point Spread: Oregon State -3
Over/Under Total Line: 63.5
Moneyline: Oregon State -150 / Boise State +130

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Oregon State Beavers: 7-5 SU 6-6 ATS
Boise State: 9-3 SU 6-6 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• BSU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.
• BSU is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a S.U. win.
• BSU has an Under record of 9-3 in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
• OSU is 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
• OSU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
• OSU has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 non-conference games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Oregon State Beavers: 78.37
Boise State Broncos: 75.45

Key Player Injuries

OREGON STATE
[WR] 12/19/2013 – Kevin Cummings Ques Tuesday (Wrist)
[DE] 12/19/2013 – John Braun Ques Tuesday (Shoulder)
[WR] 12/19/2013 – J.C Grim Ques Tuesday (Wrist)
[LB] 12/16/2013 – D.J. Alexander expected to miss Tuesday (Neck)
[LB] 12/11/2013 – Michael Doctor out indefinitely (Foot)
[C] 12/11/2013 – Roman Sapolu out for season (Foot)

BOISE STATE
[QB] 12/19/2013 – Ryan Finley Ques Tuesday (Shoulder)
[WR] 12/19/2013 – Kirby Moore Ques Tuesday (Undisclosed)
[LB] 12/19/2013 – Ben Weaver Ques Tuesday (Undisclosed)
[WR] 12/19/2013 – Shane Williams-Rhodes Ques Tuesday (Leg)
[OT] 12/11/2013 – Jake Broyles out for season (Knee)
[WR] 11/26/2013 – Taylor Pope out for season (Collarbone)
[QB] 10/20/2013 – Joe Southwick out indefinitely (Ankle)
[RB] 10/08/2013 – Aaron Baltazar out for season (Knee)
[S] 10/08/2013 – Ebo Makinde out for season (Pectoral)
[LB] 09/10/2013 – Travis Saxton out for season (Knee)
[TE] 08/24/2013 – Kyle Sosnowski out indefinitely (Knee)
[S] 08/13/2013 – Chanceller James out for season (Knee)

Point Spread Selection : Both teams have their flaws, but we’ll take the team that isn’t on a 5-game winless streak and the team that is better coached.
Take the Boise State Broncos +3
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