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Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings Betting Odds – Point Spread Pick

Time: 8:30 PM EST Sunday October 27, 2013, ESPN

The Minnesota Vikings host the Green Bay Packers in a NFC North divisional match-up.

In their last games the Green Bay Packers beat the Cleveland Browns 31-13 at home, while Minnesota lost to the New York Giants 23-7 at home.

Both The Packers and the Vikings are pretty banged up on both sides of the ball. However Green Bay has a healthy Aaron Rodgers who is having another stellar season statistically.

The Vikings however now have Christian Ponder back as their signal caller after Josh Freeman suffered a concussion last Monday night against the Giants. Ponder was benched in favor of Freeman because of 3 shaky performances. IF Minnesota is going to have any chance today Ponder will have to have a game like he did in the final game of season last year against the Packers were he had a career-high 120.2 quarterback rating.

The home team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

These 2 teams have gone Over in 8 of their last 11 games and the Over is 10-2-1 in the last 13 meetings in Minnesota.

This season the Vikings are 1-2 at home and the Packers are 1-2 on the road.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes.
Point Spread: Packers -10
Over/Under Total Line: 47
Moneyline: Packers -390 / Vikings +320

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Green Bay Packers: 4-2 SU 4-2 ATS
Minnesota Vikings: 1-5 SU 2-4 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• GB is 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• GB is 25-9 ATS in their last 34 vs. NFC North.
• GB is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• MIN is 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• MIN is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• MIN is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Green Bay Packers: 27.07
Minnesota Vikings: 14.71

Key Player Injuries

Green Bay
[CB] 10/26/2013 – Casey Howard Prob Sunday (Hamstring)
[RB] 10/26/2013 – James Starks Prob Sunday (Knee)
[CB] 10/23/2013 – Jarrett Bush Prob Sunday (Hamstring)
[LB] 10/26/2013 – Nick Perry Ques Sunday (Foot)
[LB] 10/21/2013 – Brad Jones Ques Sunday (Hamstring)
[WR] 10/26/2013 – James Jones Doub Sunday (Hamstring)
[G] 10/15/2013 – Greg Van Roten I-R (Foot)
[DE] 10/15/2013 – Randall Cobb Elig Week 15 (Knee)
[T] 10/7/2013 – Bryan Bulaga I-R (Knee)
[LB] 10/7/2013 – Rob Francois I-R (Achilles)

Minnesota
[CB] 10/26/2013 – A.J. Jefferson Prob Sunday (Ankle)
[DT] 10/26/2013 – Sharrif Floyd Prob Sunday (Back)
[T] 10/26/2013 – Matt Kalil Prob Sunday (Back)
[K] 10/26/2013 – Blair Walsh Prob Sunday (Hamstring)
[LB] 10/26/2013 – Chad Greenway Prob Sunday (Wrist)
[DT] 10/26/2013 – Kevin Williams Prob Sunday (Knee)
[DE] 10/26/2013 – Jared Allen Prob Sunday (Ankle)
[RB] 10/25/2013 – Adrian Peterson Prob Sunday (Hamstring)
[DT] 10/26/2013 – Fred Evans Ques Sunday (Knee)
[S] 10/26/2013 – Jamarca Sanford Ques Sunday (Ankle)
[WR] 10/26/2013 – Rodney Smith Out Sunday (Hip)
[RB] 10/26/2013 – Matt Asiata Out Sunday (Shoulder)
[QB] 10/26/2013 – Josh Freeman Out Sunday (Concussion)
[TE] 10/26/2013 – Rhett Ellison Out Sunday (Ankle)
[S] 10/20/2013 – Harrison Smith Elig Week 15 (Toe)
[LB] 10/17/2013 – Desmond Bishop I-R (Knee)

Next Game
Chicago @ Green Bay
Minnesota @ Dallas

Our Selection : The Vikings’ offense looked terrible on Monday night, but a lot of the blame should be shouldered by Josh Freeman and Leslie Frazier for putting him out there. While we’re not fans of Christian Ponder he does know the playbook and is Minnesota’s best option behind center at this point in time.
The Packers may get a pair of LBs back, but this is still a hurting crew. So look for Adrain Peterson if healthy to get a big workload this week. Getting the running going is a must for the Vikes after being non existent versus the Giants and Panthers.
Green Bay’s offense is also banged up with injuries to WRs James Jones and Randall Cobb and TE Jermichael Finley. The Packers did put up 31 on the board last week against the Browns, but a lot of the scoring was done late against a very tired defense that was on the field a lot due to their pop gun offense. Green Bay was held to 19 vs. Baltimore and 22 vs. Detroit.
The Packers are running the ball a lot this season and are likely to have RB James Starks back to share the load with rookie Eddie Lacy. Minnesota will have to limit the yardage on the ground and they have been adequate at that task this season ranking 14th in rushing yards per game.
We feel that Ponder and Peterson will have some success moving the ball on the Packers defense. We believe both teams game plan will be heavily run orientated. Look for the Vikings to stay close enough throughout to cover this inflated point spread for a divisional match-up.
Take the Minnesota Vikings +10 at Bovada and get up to a 50% Bonus.

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