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Golden State Warriors vs. San Antonio Spurs Betting Odds

The 50-26 San Antonio Spurs host the 63-13 Golden State Warriors in an Eastern Conference match up on 4/5/2015 at AT&T Center San Antonio, TX; Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Spurs -5.5
Over/Under Total Line: 210

The Warriors have won 12 straight games and in their last game they were on the road and beat the Dallas Mavericks 123-110 where they covered the 6.5-point spread as the favorite. Golden State has covered the spread in 9 of their last 10 games. The total for the Mavericks game went Over, which was the 2nd straight games where that was the winning bet. In their last 10 games the Warriors have an O/U record of 6-4.

On the season the Warriors are 25-11-1 ATS at home and 21-18 ATS on the road. They have covered the spread in their last 5 road games. While Golden State has an O/U record of 19-18 at home they have an O/U record of 17-22 on the road. In their last road game the posted total went Over and in the previous 3 games the posted total went Under every time.

In their last game the Spurs were at home and beat the Denver Nuggets 123-93 where they easily covered the spread as a 13-point favorite. They have covered the spread in their last 6 games overall and in 9 of their last 10. The total for the Nuggets game went Over and in the previous 4 games the Under was the winning bet. In their last 10 games they have an O/U record of 4-6. Overall, the Spurs have won 6 straight games and they are 9-1 in their last 10.

The Spurs are 19-17-2 ATS at home this season and are 19-19 ATS on the road. In their last 6 home games San Antonio has covered the spread every time. While the Over has been the winning bet for the Spurs on the season (O/U 22-16) the Under has been the winning one on the road (O/U 14-24). In their last home game the posted total went Over, but in the previous 2 games the total went Under.

These 2 teams have met twice this season with both games in Golden State. In the first match up the Spurs won and covered with the total going Over and in the 2nd game the Warriors won and covered with the total going Under. One of only 2 losses at home this season for the Warriors came at the hands of the Spurs.

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Some other angles to consider:

The Spurs have won 31 straight regular season home games against the Warriors.

The Spurs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Warriors.

The Spurs are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 home games against the Warriors.

In the last 11 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 8 times.

This season the Spurs are 30-8 at home and the Warriors are 28-11 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Golden State Warriors: 37-22 SU / 27-31-1 ATS
San Antonio Spurs: 13-46 SU / 29-28-2 ATS

Betting Trends

• GS is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• GS is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
• GS has an Over record of 9-4 in their last 13 games.
• SA is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• SA is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• SA has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Sagarin Rankings

Golden State Warriors: 100.54
San Antonio Spurs: 95.07

Injury Reports

WARRIORS

[F] 04/03/2015 – Draymond Green is upgraded to probable ( Shin )

SPURS

[C] 04/04/2015 – Tiago Splitter injured last game, Out Sunday vs. Golden State ( Calf )

Free NBA Pick

Even though the Spurs won their last game it was a costly win, as Tiago Splitter was injured and he is out for this game. Since he moved into the starting lineup the Spurs are 16-3. The Warriors have already wrapped up the No. 1 seed in the West and the league’s best record, so will they rest some key players for this game? That is a big question.

In their 12-game winning streak Golden State has outscored their opponents by an average of 15.2 ppg. They will face a San Antonio team that is only giving up an average of 86.8 ppg in their 6-game winning streak. I think the Warriors will be at full strength and Stephen Curry and Klay Thomson will see regular time. The Spurs may snap the Warriors long winning streak with a win, but Golden State will cover the 5.5-point spread.

Take the WARRIORS +5.5

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