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Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick

The 45-39 New Orleans Pelicans host the 69-15 Golden State Warriors iin Game 3 of a Western Conference playoff series on 4/23/2015 at Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA; Tipoff is at 9:30 PM ET.

The Warriors lead this best of 7 series 2-0.

Wagering Odds

Point Spread: Warriors -5
Over/Under Total Line: 203

In their last game the Warriors were at home in Game 2 of this series and while they won 97-87 they failed to cover the 13-point spread. The Warriors have not covered the spread in either game if this series and have not covered in their last 5 games overall. The total for Game 2 went Under and in their last 10 games they have an O/U record of 5-4-1. Overall, the Warriors have won 6 straight games and 8 of their last 10.

On the road this season the Warriors are 21-20 ATS and at home they are 26-14-1 ATS. Golden State has not covered the spread in their last 2 road games. The Under has been the winning bet for the Warriors this season on the road, as they have an O/U road record of 17-24 and an O/U home record of 22-19. In their last 2 road games the posted total went Under both times.

The Pelicans have covered the spread in the first 2 games of this series and they have covered in 3 straight games. In their last 10 games New Orleans is 5-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 2-7-1. The Pelicans had won their last 2 games of the regular season before losing the first 2 games of this series at Golden State.

The Pelicans have been a much better home betting team (25-16 ATS) than on the road (20-21 ATS). New Orleans has covered the spread in their last 5 games at home. On the season the Pelicans have an O/U home record of 24-17 and an O/U road record of 18-23. While their last home game went Over the previous 2 had gone Under the posted total.

The Warriors have won 4 of 5 games this season, including this series, facing the Pelicans, but the last time they faced each other in New Orleans the Pelicans won. The Pelicans are 3-2 ATS in the 5 games facing the Warriors this season and have covered the spread in the last 3. In the 5 games these teams have faced each other this season the O/U record is 2-2-1.

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Some other angles to consider:

In the last 11 games between these 2 teams the Under record is 8-2-1.

The Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Warriors.

The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these 2 teams.

This season the Pelicans are 28-13 at home and the Warriors are 28-13 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Golden State Warriors: 69-15 SU / 47-36-1 ATS
New Orleans Pelicans: 45-39 SU / 47-37 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• GS is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games.
• GS is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• GS has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
• NO is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• NO is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• NO has an Under record of 7-2-1 in their last 10 games,

Sagarin Rankings

Golden State Warriors: 99.84
New Orleans Pelicans: 91.48

Injury Report

WARRIORS
[F] 04/21/2015 – Draymond Green probable Thursday vs. New Orleans ( Ankle )
[F] 04/20/2015 – David Lee “?” Thursday vs. New Orleans ( Back )

PELICANS
[G] 04/20/2015 – Jrue Holiday missed last game, “?” Thursday vs. Golden State ( Leg )

Free MLB Prediction

The Warriors rallied from 13 points down in Game 2 to win by 10 points. New Orleans played decent defense in Game 2 holding the Warriors, who are the highest scoring team in the league, to 97 points on 44.2% shooting. However, their offense struggled in the game and they only shot 37.8% from the floor.

The Warriors failed to cover the spread in the first 2 games of this season and in both games they were favored by double digits. This time in the Big Easy they are only giving 5 points. However, the Pelicans won the last time they faced the Warriors at home and while they may not win this game they will cover the spread once again.

Take the PELICANS +5

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