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Free MLB Pick: Yankees vs Orioles

Time: 7 PM EST Wednesday August 13, 2014 ESPN

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

The Baltimore Orioles host the New York Yankees in an American League East match up.

In their last games: Yesterday’s Game 2 of this 3 game series was rained out and in Game 1 on Monday the Orioles beat the Yankees 11-3.

In Monday’s 11-3 win the Orioles offense came alive scoring `11 runs on 14 hits.

The Orioles are 7-3 facing the Yankees this season.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Orioles are 7-3 in Chris Tillman’s last 10 starts.

In the Orioles last 5 home games against the Yankees with Tillman getting the start the total has gone Under every time.

The Orioles are 9-4 in their last 13 home games against the Yankees.

Pitching Match Up

New York: Michael Pineda (2-2, 1.83 ERA)
Baltimore: Chris Tillman (9-5, 3.73 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Yankees +118 /Orioles -128
Run Line: -1.5 +160
Total Line: Under 8 -110

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

New York Yankees: 61-57 SU / O/U 50-66 / Run Line W/L 59-59
Baltimore Orioles: 68-50 SU / O/U 53-63 / Run Line W/L 69-49

Key Betting Trends

• NY is 2-5 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
• NY is 2-7 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
• NY has an Under record of 6-2 in their last 8 games.
• BAL is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• BAL is 8-3 in their last 11 games as a home favorite.
• BAL has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.

Key Player Injuries

YANKEES

Brian McCann Concussion on 7-day DL(8/9)
Ivan Nova Right elbow surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(4/20)
David Phelps Right elbow tendinitis on 15-day DL(8/4)
Michael Pineda Muscle strain, right shoulder on 60-day DL(5/6)
CC Sabathia Right knee surgery – out for season on 60-day DL(5/11)
Masahiro Tanaka Right elbow inflammation on 15-day DL(7/9

ORIOLES

Manny Machado Sprained left knee ligament day-to-day(8/11)
Johan Santana Recovery from left shoulder surgery on 60-day DL(6/2)
Matt Wieters Right elbow surgery – out for season on 15-day DL(5/11)

Run Line Pick:

The Yankees send Michael Pineda to the mound to make his first MLB start since April 23rd, so statistical data is nearly useless. I can however surmise that the chances of him being outstanding are far lower than the possibility of him being subpar in this outing. With the Yankees current offensive form (4 runs scored in L3) and Orioles’ starter Tillman already recording 2 QS against them I can also surmise that Tillman should have a solid shot at registering his 3rd quality start on the season versus New York tonight.

Take the Baltimore Orioles -1.5 +160‏

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