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Florida Gators vs. Kentucky Wildcats ATS Prediction

Time: 9 PM EST Saturday February 15, 2014, ESPN

Location: Rupp Arena, Lexington, Kentucky

The 14th ranked Florida Gators host the 3rd ranked Florida Gators in a SEC match up.

In their last games: Kentucky beat Auburn 64-56 and Florida beat Tennessee 67-58.

In their win over Auburn the Wildcats were ice cold shooting, but had 22 offensive rebounds and held the Tigers to 32.7% shooting.

The Gators did not shoot the ball well in their win over Tennessee and they did not play great defense, but they won by forcing 15 turnovers and grabbing twice as many offensive rebounds (18-9).

Last season these 2 teams split their 2 games with each winning on their home floor. The last game was at Kentucky with the Wildcats winning 61-57.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 6 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 5 times.

Kentucky ranks 7th in the nation in rebounds and they average the most 2nd chance points from any team from a major conference.

Florida allows the fewest ppg, points per 100 possessions, and points in the paint in the SEC.

Kentucky is undefeated at home this season (14-0) and Florida is 6-2 on the road.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: – Kentucky -2
Total Line: 131
Money Line: Gators Off / Wildcats Off

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Florida Gators: 22-2 SU 10-9-1 ATS
Kentucky Wildcats: 19-5 SU 11-9-2 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• FLA is 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• FLA is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 road games.
• FLA has an Under record of 8-3 in their last 11 road games.
• UK is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• UK is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• UK has an Under record of 3-0-1 in their last 4 hone games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Florida Gators: 90.06
Kentucky Wildcats: 87.98

Key Player Injuries

[F] 12/21/2013 – Damontre Harris out for season ( Dismissed )
[G] 12/03/2013 – Eli Carter redshirt ( Leg )
[G] 11/20/2013 – Dillon Graham out for season ( Hip )

No injuries to report at this time.

Point Spread Pick:

The Gators have lost only 2 games on the season with the last one being a 1-point loss road loss to Connecticut on December 2nd. It’s not going to be easy tonight against Kentucky who is 14-0 at home this season and certainly was impressive in their 80-64 win over a very good Mississippi team. That being said, we will side with the team whose only blemish on their record since the middle of November (21-1) is a 1-point road loss to UConn.
Take the Florida Gators +2

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