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Final Four Betting: Kentucky Vs. Wisconsin Pick

Time: 8:49 PM EST Saturday April 5, 2014, TBS

Location: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas

The Kentucky Wildcats face the Wisconsin Badgers in a Final 4 match up.

In their last games: Kentucky beat Michigan 75-72 and Wisconsin beat Arizona 64-63 in OT.

In their win over Michigan Kentucky did not play great defense, but they shot 53.4% from the floor, hit on 7 of their 11 3-pointers, and grabbed 17 offensive rebounds.

In their win over Arizona Wisconsin did not have a great shooting night, but they played solid defense holding the Wildcats to a FG% of 39.7%.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Both of these teams have covered the spread in all of their NCAA Tournament games this season.

In 3 of their 4 NCAA Tournament games, including their last 2, Wisconsin has held their opponents to a FG% of under 40%.

Kentucky won the Midwest Region as the 8th seed and in their run to the Final 4 beat the region’s #1 seed, 4th seed, and 2nd seed.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Kentucky -1.5
Total Line: 139.5
Money Line: Wildcats -130 / Badgers +110

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Kentucky Wildcats: 28-10 SU 19-15-2 ATS
Wisconsin Badgers: 30-7 SU 21-16 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• UK is 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• UK is 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. Big Ten.
• UK has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 non-conference games.
• WISC is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• WISC is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
• WISC has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 non-conference games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Kentucky Wildcats: 90.45
Wisconsin Badgers: 92.82

Key Player Injuries

WILDCATS
[F] 03/31/2014 – Willie Cauley-Stein “?” Saturday vs. Wisconsin ( Ankle )

BADGERS
[G] 11/18/2013 – Riley Dearring redshirt ( None )
[G] 12/07/2013 – George Marshall has left team ( Concussion )

Betting Pick:

The Wildcats have grown up in the last 3 weeks starting with their 3 games in the SEC tournament where they easily put away LSU and Georgia before falling to Florida by 1 in the final. In the NCAA tournament they put away a decent Kansas State team, defeated unbeaten Wichita State, beat a very good Louisville team and survived a battle against Michigan. To me what impressed the most was their scoring with Kentucky exceeding their opponent’s defensive scoring average in 6 of the 7 games. Wisconsin’s defense has been great in 7 of 8 halves of their halves this tournament and has played very well for most of the season allowing a 38th ranked 63.7 points per game. The Badgers do have a weakness though and that’s matching up against athletic teams with multiple scoring threats and unfortunately that is what they must contend with on Saturday night.
Take the Kentucky Wildcats -1.5

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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