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Fighting Irish vs. Seminoles Point Spread Prediction

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Florida State Seminoles Betting

Time: 8 PM EST Saturday October 18, 2014, ABC / WatchESPN

This week in the college football schedule see’s the Florida State Seminoles and their 22 game winning streak host potentially their toughest matchup of the year so far when they meet the Notre Dame Fighting Irish. The defending National Champs have continued to struggle this year in covering spread as 6 of the 7 last games they didn’t. This Saturday the Seminoles open as the 13.5 point favorites and this week might be another problem covering the spread.
Notre Dame has a very talented offense that will definitely have the ability to test the Seminoles defense. The Irish have scored more than 30 points in five of their last 6 games with the only exception being a home win over Stanford 17-14. Irish QB Everett Golson threw for 300 yards and 3 touchdowns against North Carolina last week and they hope to bring the same tempo against Florida State.

Florida State appears to always be prepared and play to the level of its competition. The Irish should definitely pose a challenge this weekend with their high flying offense. The Seminoles QB Heisman Winner Jameis Winston had the best game of his season last week against Syracuse with 317 yards and 3 touchdowns. This week may come down to a battle of the defence as both teams are talented on both sides of the ball.

No. 5 Notre Dame vs. No. 2 Florida State

In their last games Notre Dame beat North Carolina 50-43 and Florida State beat Syracuse 38-20.

This season Florida State is 3-0 at home and Notre Dame is 1-0 on the road.

Betting Odds
Point Spread: Florida State -11.5
Over/Under Total Line: OFF
Moneyline: OFF

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Notre Dame: 6-0 SU 4-2 ATS
Florida State: 6-0 SU 1-5 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• ND is 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• ND is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• ND has an Under record of 27-11-1 in their last 39 road games.
• FSU is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• FSU is 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• FSU has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Notre Dame: 86.61
Florida State: 87.60

Key Player Injuries

NOTRE DAME
[DB] 10/10/2014 – KeiVarae Russell out for season ( Academics )
[LB] 08/16/2014 – Kendall Moore out indefinitely ( Academics )
[LB] 08/19/2014 – Ishaq Williams out indefinitely ( Academics )
[WR] 08/16/2014 – DaVaris Daniels out indefinitely ( Academics )
[DB] 09/15/2014 – Nicky Baratti out for season ( Shoulder )
[DB] 08/30/2014 – Austin Collinsworth out indefinitely ( Knee )
[LB] 09/07/2014 – Jarrett Grace out indefinitely ( Leg )

FLORIDA STATE
[WR] 08/16/2014 – Isaiah Jones out for season ( Academics )
[LB] 08/28/2014 – Delvin Purifoy out for season ( Leg )
[RB] 10/12/2014 – Mario Pender injured last game, probable Saturday vs. Notre Dame ( Ankle )
(!)[QB] 10/13/2014 – Jameis Winston probable Saturday vs. Notre Dame ( Disciplinary )
(!)[RB] 10/13/2014 – Karlos Williams is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Notre Dame ( Ankle )
[LB] 10/13/2014 – Matthew Thomas is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Notre Dame ( Suspension Served )
[DL] 10/12/2014 – Demarcus Christmas “?” Saturday vs. Notre Dame ( Ankle )
[DB] 10/12/2014 – Trey Marshall “?” Saturday vs. Notre Dame ( Concussion )
[DT] 09/25/2014 – Nile Lawrence-Stample out for season ( Pectoral )
[C] 10/05/2014 – Austin Barron out indefinitely ( Arm )
[2nd QB] 10/06/2014 – Sean Maguire out indefinitely ( Hand

Next Game
Notre Dame @ Navy
Florida State @ Louisville

Free Point Spread Pick

The total may be the best play here when it comes out with botrh teams putting up a ton of pooints and not playing much defense. That said we don’t think that Irish can keep up with the Semilnoles on the scoreboard. Florida State hasn’t been covering the line, but they have been winning by large margins with only their season opener the only game they didn’t by 18 or more with Jameis Winston at the Helm. Look for the Seminoles to have a statement game on Saturday night.‏

Take the Florida State Seminoles -11.5‏

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