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Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals Moneyline Prediction

Time: 8:10 PM EST Thursday July 10, 2014

Location: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri

The Kansas City Royals host the Detroit Tigers in an American League Central match up.

In their last games: The Tigers beat the L.A. Dodgers 4-1 and the Royals beat the Tampa Bay Rays 5-4.

In yesterday’s win Detroit starter Max Scherzer had a great start and overall the Tigers’ pitching only gave up 1 run on 4 hits.

The Royals scored 3 runs in the 9th inning to beat the Rays 5-4.

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 7 games between these 2 teams the Over record is 5-2.

The Tigers are 5-2 in the last 7 games against the Royals in Kansas City.

The Tigers are 1-4 in Drew Smyly’s last 5 road starts.

The Royals are 23-9 in Jeremy Guthrie’s last 32 home starts.

Pitching Match Up
Detroit: Drew Smyly (4-8, 3.89 ERA)
Kansas City: Jeremy Guthrie (5-7, 4.02 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Tigers -103 / Royals -107
Run Line: Detroit -1.5 +150
Total Line: 8 Under -120

Straight up, Over/Under and Runline Records
Detroit Tigers: 50-37 SU / O/U 48-35 / Run Line W/L 40-47
Kansas City Royals: 46-43 SU / O/U 42-42 / Run Line W/L 50-39

Key Betting Trends
• DET is 14-5 in their last 19 overall.
• DET is 8-2 in their last 10 road games.
• DET has an Over record of 6-1 in their last 7 games.
• KC is 3-7 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
• KC is 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
• KC has an Under record of 18-7-1 in their last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Key Player Injuries

ROYALS
Jason Vargas SP Out Jul 9 illness Late July
Alex Gordon OF Out Jul 9 wrist Day-to-day
Norichika Aoki OF D.L. Jun 21 groin Mid-July?

TIGERS
Patrick McCoy R D.L. Jul 6 hamstring Out indefinitely
Victor Martinez DH Out Jul 5 ribs Day-to-day
Joel Hanrahan R D.L. May 2 elbow Late July?
Luke Putkonen R D.L. Apr 21 elbow Out indefinitely
Andy Dirks OF D.L. Mar 29 back Early July?

Moneyline Prediction:

Kansas City starter Jeremy Guthrie had 4 straight starts where he allowed 2 or fewer runs before giving up 6 earned runs in 4 innings to Cleveland last Saturday. Guthrie pitched 6 2/3 against Detroit on June 18 giving up 1 run and getting the 2-1 win. The Tigers counter with lefty Drew Smyly who had also four straight starts in which he allowed two or fewer runs, before giving up nine runs in his last 2 starts in 7 2/3 innings. Smyly has faced the Royals twice this season giving up two runs in 14 innings. Smyly is 3-1 lifetime against the Royals with a 2.16 ERA. The Tigers rested Miguel Cabrera last night who is 14-for-43 with three homers versus Guthrie lifetime. Guthrie has given up 17 home runs this season. Detroit look to extend their AL west division lead over the 2nd place Royals in their 4 game series before the all star break. Detroit are the best road team in majors and you don’t find them as a underdog very often, so in a tough divisional game we lean to visitors tonight.
Take the Detroit Tigers -103.

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