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Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians Total Pick

Time: 7:15 PM EST Saturday June 21, 2014 FOX

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio

The Cleveland Indians host the Detroit Tigers in game 2 of a 3 game series.

In their last game: The Tigers beat the Indians 6-4 as a +141 dog in a game that was never in doubt. Detroit had a 5 run lead going into the bottom of 8th before Cleveland got to the bullpen for 4 runs to make it close and send it over the closing total of 8.

The win by the Tigers was only their second this season against the Indians who hold a 4-2 edge in 2014.

The win broke off a 4-game win streak by the home team.

The over in Game 1 was the 5th straight in the series and 5-1 this year.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Detroit starter Justin Verlander is an atrocious 0-3 with a 9.16 ERA in his last 3 games and 2-5 with a 5.63 in night games this season.

Current play for both teams is a mixed bag with no trends.

Pitching Match Up
Detroit Tigers: Justin Verlander (6-7 4.98 ERA)
Cleveland Indians: Trevor Bauer (2-3, 4.20 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Tigers +111 / Indians -121
Run Line: Cleveland -1.5 +170
Total Line: 8.5 Under -115

Straight up, Totals and Runline Records
Detroit Tigers: 38-32 SU / O/U 37-30 / Run Line W/L 30-40
Cleveland Indians: 38-33 SU / O/U 39-33 / Run Line W/L 34-40

Key Betting Trends
Detroit is 6-2 in their last 8 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
Detroit is 0-4 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Cleveland is 20-8 in their last 28 home games.
Over is 11-3 in Cleveland’s last 14 home games vs. a team with a +.500 record

Key Player Injuries

06/21/14 Torii Hunter Hamstring -Questionable for June 21 at Cleveland
06/19/14 Andy Dirks Back 60-day DL. -Out until at least mid-July
06/13/14 Luke Putkonen Elbow 15-day DL. – Out until at least mid-July
06/04/14 Jose Iglesias Shin 60-day DL. – Out for season
03/29/14 Bruce Rondon Elbow 60-day DL.- Likely out for season

06/21/14Michael Brantley LF Head/neck -Questionable for June 21 vs. Detroit
06/12/14Jason Giambi DH Knee 15-day DL. – Out until at least early July
05/22/14Nyjer Morgan CF Knee 60-day DL. -Out until at least

Total Pick:

Can Verlander even pitch anymore? The former star pitcher has been a disaster in his last 3 starts with 19 the opposition pounding him for 19 runs in 19.2 innings. He’s been having a rough go of it since the middle of May with only 1 quality start in 7 outings. He looked OK in his first start against the Indians this season allowing 3 runs, but zero earned runs over 5 innings. Verlander wasn’t so sharp in his latest versus the tribe getting tagged for 11 hits and 5 earned runs in 6 innings at Progressive Field in late May. Bauer goes for Cleveland is coming off of a good outing against the Angels with a quality start, but has been lukewarm this season overall with a mediocre ERA of 4.20. He has only one start versus the visitor and he didn’t embarrass himself with 6 innings of 2-run ball. He did have a lot of base runners in that game and did get tagged for two home runs so I’m projecting him to have as easy a go of it tonight. There’s a solid trend to the over in this matchup and that’s where my money will be tonight. Take Over 8.5 +100

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