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Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox Total Pick

Time: 7:10 PM EST Friday May 16, 2014 NESN

Location: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts

The Boston Red Sox host the Detroit Tigers in an American League match up.

In their last games: The Tigers beat the Baltimore Orioles 7-5 and the Red Sox lost to the Minnesota Twins 4-3.

In their win over the Orioles Miguel Cabrera and Rajai Davis both had 2 RBI’s and while the Tigers gave up 5 runs in the 5th inning their pitching did not allow any more runs in the game.

After the Red Sox scored 2 runs in the 9th to force extra innings Minnesota’s Aaron Hicks hit a game-winning RBI single in the 10th inning to give the Twins the win.

This game is the first meeting between these 2 teams this season.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Red Sox are 4-1 in Jon Lester’s last 5 starts against the Tigers.

The Tigers are 0-4 in Max Scherzer’s last 4 road starts against Red Sox.

The Tigers have won 3 straight and 7 of their last 10 games.

The Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games facing the Tigers,

Pitching Match Up
Detroit Tigers: Max Scherzer (5-1, 2.04 ERA)
Boston Red Sox: Jon Lester (4-4, 2.75 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Tigers -103 / Red Sox -107
Run Line: Boston -1.5 +180
Total Line: 7.5

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Detroit Tigers: 24-12 SU / O/U 16-18 / Run Line W/L 17-19
Boston Red Sox: 20-20 SU / O/U 15-23 / Run Line W/L 17-23

Key Betting Trends
• DET is 8-0 in their last 8 road games.
• DET is 12-3 in their last 15 overall.
• DET has an Under record of 6-2 in their last 8 games.
• BOS is 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
• BOS is 38-14 in their last 52 games following a loss.
• BOS has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 home games.

Key Player Injuries

Steven Wright RP D.L. Mar 27 middle body Out indefinitely
Ryan Dempster SP Suspended Feb 23 –

Rick Porcello SP Out May 12 ribs Day-to-day
Joel Hanrahan RP D.L. May 2 elbow June?
Anibal Sanchez S D.L. Apr 26 finger May 18
Luke Putkonen RP D.L. Apr 21 elbow Early May
Andy Dirks OF D.L. Mar 29 back June?
Jose Iglesias SS D.L. Mar 29 leg 2015
Bruce Rondon R D.L. Mar 29 elbow 2015

Total Pick:

This game sets up as a pitching duel between Detroit’s Max Scherzer and Boston’s Jon Lester. Both starters are off to solid starts with ERA’s below 3.00 and have pitched well against their opponent in recent starts. Scherzer has allowed 8 runs in his last 4 starts versus the Bosox while Lester has allowed 4 runs in his last 3 versus the Tigers. Detroit has hit left handers well this season with a .281 average and do their roster does have some players who have had success against Lester in his career, so I would back the Tigers if I was taking a side. But, the obvious play here is the total with the teams a combined 4-12 to the under in games today’s listed pitchers have started.
Take UNDER 7.5 -105.

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