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Denver vs. Seattle Point Spread Pick

Opening Line: Seahawks -5
Over/Under: 48.5

Time: 4:25 PM EST Sunday September 21, 2014 on CBS

Denver Broncos (2-0) vs. Seattle Seahawks (1-1)

The Broncos will get their chance at some revenge this Sunday in Seattle after suffering the worst Super Bowl loss in 20 years to the Seahawks back in January. The Broncos are rolling at 2-0, but they have not looked great in losing steam in the 2nd half.

Seattle is coming off a loss where their “Temple of Boom” defense allowed the San Diego Chargers to score 30 points. They allowed Phillip Rivers to have the biggest passer rating against them since the 2010 season and now face Peyton Manning, who will get WR Wes Welker back for this game and has the highest QB rating in the league.

In their last games the Broncos beat the Kansas City Chiefs 24-17 and the Seahawks lost to the San Diego Chargers 30-21.

The Broncos are 0-2 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-1 and the Seahawks are 1-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 2-0.

This season the Seahawks are 1-0 at home and this will be the first road game for the Broncos.

Manning has put up solid numbers so far on the season and he has 6 TD and has yet to be picked off. He has a solid WR corps, especially with Welker back in the fold, and a solid TE in Julius Thomas. Last week the Seahawks really struggled to cover San Diego big TE Antonio Games allowing him to catch 3 TD’s and this Sunday Thomas may create match up problems for them.

While the Seattle pass defense has not been a shutdown unit so far their run defense has been pretty good. Denver RB Montee Ball leads the Broncos with 127 rushing yards with a TD, but is only averaging 3.6 yards per carry.

Russell Wilson cannot be at fault for the Chargers gave, as he played well. He is 18-1 as a starter at home and so far this season his QB rating ranks 2nd in the NFL behind Manning. His WR corps is decent, but they will be facing a Denver pass D that has struggled this season and only ranks 30th after 2 games.

Marshawn Lynch did not have a good game against San Diego with only 36 rushing yards and he is dealing with a back injury that kept him out of practice on Wednesday. If he cannot go it will be a big loss and Robert Turbin, who only has 34 rushing yards this season, will have to man the running duties. The Broncos run D does rank 10th in the league, but they allowed the Chiefs to rush for 133 yards last week.

Denver has not visited Seattle since the 2002 season.

Betting Trends

The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and they have an Over record of 13-6 in their last 19 road games.

The Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss, 39-18-1 ATS in their last 58 home games, and they have an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 home games.

Free Point Spread Pick

A possible trend is developing with the Denver Broncos getting out yarded each game. In their first two games of the 2014 season they were beat in yardage by Indianapolis 380-325 in Week 1 and by Kansas City 408-361 in Week 2. Manning isn’t putting up the big numbers of 2013 and has yet to exceed 259 yards passing in a game and is unlikely to get his first 300 yard game of the season against the Seahawks in Week 3. Seattle looked out of sorts playing their first road game of the season but look for a reversal in form back at CenturyLink Field on Sunday. The line on this game opened at 3.5 but sharp action has driven it up to 5 at most sports books. We feel that the number holds value up to a -6 point spread.

Take the Seattle Seahawks -5

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