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Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat Over Under Total Pick

Time: 7:30 PM EST Monday March 10, 2014, SUN Sports (Miami)

Location: American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida

The Miami Heat host the Denver Nuggets in a non-conference match up.

In their last games: The Heat lost to the Brooklyn Nets and the Nuggets beat the Orlando Magic 120-112.

Kenneth Faried and Wilson Chandler combined to score 47 points in the win over the Magic and as a team the Nuggets shot 51.2% from the floor.

Paul Pierce went for 29 points in the win over the Heat and while the Nets did not play great defense Miami turned the ball over 17 times.

Earlier this season in Denver the Heat beat the Nuggets 97-94.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against the Heat.

The Heat have lost 4 of their last 5 games. They lost their last game at home and have not lost-back-to-back home games since the 2010-2011 season.

In his last 5 games LeBron James is only averaging 20 ppg on 44.8% shooting when his season FG% is at 57.2%.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: – Miami -10.5
Total Line: 214.5
Money Line: Nuggets +500 / Heat -700

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Denver Nuggets: 28-36 SU 27-37 ATS
Miami Heat: 44-18 SU 28-32-2 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• DEN is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.
• DEN is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
• DEN has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
• MIA is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• MIA is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• MIA has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Denver Nuggets: 87.42
Miami Heat: 95.41

Key Player Injuries

NUGGETS
[F] 01/22/2014 – Danilo Gallinari out for season ( Knee )
[C] 11/10/2013 – JaVale McGee out indefinitely ( Tibia )
[G] 01/31/2014 – Nate Robinson out for season ( Knee )

HEAT
No injuries to report at this time.

Over Under Total Pick:

It’s the norm for the Nuggets and their opponents to light up the scoreboard, but the last two in this series including one this season went under the 200 point mark. The 214.5 total on this game is the highest on the season for the Heat who are currently on a 7-3 under streak.
Take the UNDER 214.5.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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