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Dallas Mavericks vs. San Antonio Spurs Point Spread Pick

Time: 8 PM EST Wednesday April 23, 2014, NBATV

Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio, Texas

The San Antonio Spurs host the Dallas Mavericks in Game 2 in a Western Conference playoff series.

The Spurs lead this best of 7 series 1-0.

In their last games: In Game 1 the Spurs beat the Mavericks 90-85.

In the Game 1 win Tim Duncan and Tony Parker combined for 48 points and San Antonio played solid defense and held Dallas to a FG% of 41.2%.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Spurs have won all 5 games against the Mavs this season.

The Spurs came down from a 10-poont 4th quarter deficit in Game 1.

In Game 1 Dirk Nowitzki only had 11 points, which is the fewest he has ever scored in a playoff game when playing at least 40 minutes.

Betting Odds

Point Spread:San Antonio -8
Total Line: 198
Money Line: Mavericks +325 / Spurs -400

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Dallas Mavericks: 49-34 SU 45-38 ATS
San Antonio Spurs: 63-20 SU 45-38 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• DAL is 5-3 ATS in their last 5 games.
• DAL is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 road games.
• DAL has an Under record of 6-4 in their last 10 games.
• SA is 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games.
• SA is 3-2 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• SA has an Under record of 7-3 in their last 10 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Dallas Mavericks: 93.16
San Antonio Spurs: 98.01

Key Player Injuries

MAVERICKS
Gal Mekel G Sidelined Mar 22 knee Targeting April return

SPURS
Tim Duncan F Probable Wednesday vs Dallas ( Knee )

Point Spread Pick:

Since March 1st the Mavericks are an unimpressive 13 -10 overall but of the 10 losses only 2 were by 9 or greater points. Since March 1st the Spurs are 21-4 which included 2 losses in meaningless games to end the season. In those wins 16 of the 21 were by more than the posted line of 8 on this game. They did play Dallas 3 times in that stretch and in only one did they extend the margin to greater than 8 points. I expect San Antonio to do better from 3-point land in Game 2 but once again not cover the spread. Take the Dallas Mavericks +8.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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