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Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears – Point Spread Selection

Time: 8:40 PM EST Monday December 9, 2013, ESPN

The Chicago Bears host the Dallas Cowboys in a NFC conference match up.

In their last games 12 days ago on Thanksgiving day the Cowboys beat the Oakland Raiders 31-24 in Dallas as a 10 point favorite. The Chicago Bears blew a 10 point 4th quarter lead and lost 23-20 to the Minnesota Vikings in OT at home.

In their last meeting Chicago beat the Cowboys 34-18 in Dallas on Oct 1/12 as a 3 point underdog. The Bears have won the last 2 but the series is split at 5 a piece dating back to October 1988.

This season Chicago is 4-2 at home and Dallas is 2-4 on the road.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes
Point Spread: Chicago -1
Over/Under Total Line: 48

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Dallas Cowboys: 7-5 SU 8-4 ATS
Chicago Bears: 6-6 SU 2-9-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• DAL is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 vs. NFC.
• DAL is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
• DAL is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 Monday games.
• CHI is 5-16 ATS in their last 21 vs. NFC.
• CHI is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• CHI is 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Dallas Cowboys: 23.12
Chicago Bears: 17.78

Key Player Injuries

COWBOYS
[LB] 12/3/2013 – Sean Lee Prob Sunday (Hamstring)
[LB] 12/3/2013 – Devonte Holloman Ques Sunday (Neck)
[LB] 12/3/2013 – Justin Durant Ques Sunday (Hamstring)
[WR] 12/3/2013 – Dwayne Harris Ques Sunday (Hamstring)
[CB] 12/3/2013 – Morris Claiborne Ques Sunday (Hamstring)
[G] 11/29/2013 – Lance Dunbar Out for the season (Knee)
[G] 11/3/2013 – Brian Waters Out for the season (Tricep)
[DE] 10/20/2013 – Edgar Jones Elib Week 15 (Groin)
[DE] 9/25/2013 – Anthony Spencer Out for the season (Knee)
[DE] 9/15/2013 – Tyrone Crawford Out for the season (Achilles)
[DT] 9/8/2013 – Ben Bass I-R (Shoulder)
[S] 8/31/2013 – Matt Johnson I-R (Foot)

BEARS
[WR] 12/7/2013 – Brandon Marshall Ques Monday (Quadricep)
[T] 12/3/2013 – James Brown Ques Monday (Illness)
[S] 12/3/2013 – Anthony Walters Ques Monday (Groin)
[S] 12/3/2013 – Major Wright Ques Monday (Hamstring)
[QB] 12/5/2013 – Jay Cutler Out Monday (Ankle)
[LB] 12/5/2013 – Lance Briggs Out Monday (Shoulder)
[CB] 11/11/2013 – Charles Tillman Elig early Jan (Tricep)
[LB] 10/28/2013 – D.J. Williams I-R (Chest)
[LB] 10/9/2013 – Nate Collins I-R (Knee)
[LB] 10/7/2013 – Kelvin Hayden I-R (Hamstring)
[LB] 9/27/2013 – Henry Melton I-R (Knee)

Next Game on Deck
Green Bay @ Dallas
Chicago @ Cleveland

Point Spread Pick: This game will be decided on who will have more success running the ball. Both of these teams were beat up last week at the linebacker position, but the Cowboys’ game plan was to stack the box and force Raiders’ rookie QB Matt McGloin to beat them. That worked out well on the stat line with Dallas holding Oakland to 50 yards on the ground. This week they get back arguably their best defensive player in LB Sean Lee and fellow starter LB Justin Durant.
Things didn’t go so well for the Bears who allowed the Vikings to rush for 246 yards. Chicago has now allowed over 200 yards in back to back games and third time in their last 6. Minnesota’s per carry average of 6.2 yards marked the 4th time in 5 games that the Bears allowed an opponent to average 5.6 yards or greater per rush. Things are not looking up for Chicago who will be forced to go with the same defensive line-up versus Dallas.
If the weather doesn’t come into play here in the Windy City on Monday night the Cowboys are the way to go.
Take the Dallas Cowboys +1 at Bovada and get up to a 50% Bonus.

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