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UConn Huskies vs. Michigan State Spartans Point Spread Pick

Time: 2:20 PM EST Sunday March 30, 2014, CBS

Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, New York

In the Elite 8 match up in the East Region the 7th seed UCONN Huskies face the 4th seed Michigan State Spartans.

In their last games: UCONN beat Iowa State 81-76 and Michigan State beat Virginia 61-59.

In their win over Iowa State UCONN jumped out to a 10-point halftime lead, shot 52% from the floor, and hit on 9 of their 19 3-pointers.

In their win over Virginia Michigan had a decent shooting game, but they mainly won with their defense, which held the Cavaliers to a FG% of 35.1%.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

UCONN has won 5 of their last 6 games.

Michigan State is riding a 6-game winning streak.

UCONN is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.

Michigan State is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Michigan State -5.5
Total Line: 139
Money Line: Huskies +200 / Spartans -240

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
UCONN Huskies: 29-8 SU 20-15 ATS
Michigan State Spartans: 29-8 SU 20-13-3 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• UCONN is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• UCONN is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
• UCONN has an Under record of 13-4 in their last 17 games.
• MSU is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
• MSU is 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.
• MSU has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.

Sagarin Power Rankings
UCONN Huskies: 88.04
Michigan State Spartans: 90.67

Key Player Injuries

HUSKIES
[G] 03/20/2014 – Pat Lenehan “?” ( Undisclosed )
[G] 03/23/2014 – Shabazz Napier probable ( Shin )

SPARTANS
[G] 03/24/2014 – Branden Dawson probable ( Wrist )

Point Spread Pick:

While we do lean to the Spartans to get the outright win here the point spread has us looking the Huskies way. When you can take a team that you feel has over a 45% chance to win the game and are getting an additional 5.5 points you take it. Take the Connecticut Huskies +5.5.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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