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NCAA Free Betting Pick: Connecticut Huskies versus Iowa State Cyclones

Time: 7:27 PM EST Friday March 28, 2014, TBS

Location: FedExForum, Memphis, Tennessee

In a Sweet 16 match up in the East Region the 7th seed UCONN Huskies face the 3rd seed Iowa State Cyclones.

In their last games: UCONN beat Villanova 77-65 and Iowa State beat North Carolina 85-83.

In their win over Villanova UCONN outscored the Wildcats by 11 points in the 2nd half and for the game the Huskies held Villanova to a FG% of 35.3%.

In their win over North Carolina Iowa State G DeAndre Kane went for 24 points, 10 rebounds, and 7 assists and for the game the Cyclones made 12 of their 26 3-pointers.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

UCONN has won 4 of their last 5 games.

This season Iowa State ranks 1st in the nation in assists per game and 6th in points per game.

Iowa State has won 6 straight games.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Iowa State -1.5
Total Line: 146.5
Money Line: Huskies +105 / Cyclones -125

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
UCONN Huskies: 28-8 SU 19-15 ATS
Iowa State Cyclones: 28-7 SU 18-15 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• UCONN is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
• UCONN is 2-0 ATS in their 2 NCAA Tournament games this season.
• UCONN has an Under record of 8-2 in their last 10 games.
• ISU is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games.
• ISU is 2-0 ATS in their 2 NCAA Tournament games this season
• ISU has an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
UCONN Huskies: 87.57
Iowa State Cyclones: 88.83

Key Player Injuries

HUSKIES
[G] 03/23/2014 – Shabazz Napier probable Friday vs. Iowa State ( Shin )
[G] 03/20/2014 – Pat Lenehan “?” Saturday vs. Villanova ( Undisclosed )

CYCLONES
[F] 12/31/2013 – Abdel Nader out for season ( Eligibility )
[G] 12/31/2013 – K.J. Bluford has left team ( Personal )
[F] 03/21/2014 – Georges Niang out for season ( Foot )

Betting Pick:

The Cyclones stepped it up big time against North Carolina playing without starter Georges Niang who just happens to be their best player. Stepping up with a spirited game following the loss of a key player is a common event, but continuing that play into the second game is not a frequent occurrence. The Huskies defense is a completely different animal than the Tar Heels so count on the loss of Niang to be a huge factor in this game. UConn has won 12 of their last 13 games against teams not named Louisville and should increase that total to 13 after the final buzz sounds on Friday night. Take the Connecticut Huskies +1.5.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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