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NCAA Free Point Spread Pick: Colorado Buffaloes versus Pittsburgh Panthers

Time: 1:40 PM EST Thursday March 20, 2014, TBS

Location: Amway Center, Orlando, Florida

The 9th seed Pittsburgh Panthers face the 8th seed Colorado Buffaloes in a South Region match up.

In their last games: Pittsburgh lost to Virginia 51-48 in the ACC tournament and Colorado lost to Arizona 63-43 in the Pac 12 conference tournament.

In their loss to Virginia the Panthers struggled on offense with a FG% of only 36.7% and they missed 11 of their 14 3-pointers.

In their loss to Arizona Colorado the Wildcats outscored the Buffaloes by 17 points in the 2nd half. Overall, Colorado was ice cold in the game shooting 29.4% from the floor.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

Pitt has only covered the spread in 2 of their last 10 NCAA tournament games.

Colorado did not end the regular season well losing 3 of their last 4 games before losing to Arizona in the Pac 12 tourney semifinals.

Pitt won 5 of their last 6 games of the season including an upset win over a ranked North Carolina team in the ACC tournament.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Pittsburgh -5.5
Total Line: 128.5
Money Line: Panthers -240 / Buffaloes +200

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Pittsburgh Panthers: 25-9 SU 12-17-2 ATS
Colorado Buffaloes: 23-11 SU 18-15 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• PITT is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• PITT is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games.
• PITT has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
• COL is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.
• COL is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games.
• COL has an Under record of 6-0 in their last 6 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Pittsburgh Panthers: 87.06
Colorado Buffaloes: 81.92

Key Player Injuries

PANTHERS
[F] 01/12/2014 – Durand Johnson out for season ( Knee )

BUFFALOES
[G] 01/15/2014 – Spencer Dinwiddie out for season ( Knee )

Point Spread Pick:

The Buffaloes haven’t been the same since losing starting guard Spencer Dinwiddie back on January 12th. The competition has arguably been tougher since Dinwiddie was injured, but the fact is that the Colorado offense hasn’t scored anywhere near what it did with him in the lineup. The numbers show that in the 16 games before January 12th the Buffaloes averaged 77.62 points per game. In the next 17 games they averaged 61.35 points per game. It must also be noted that Colorado did not have a quality win going 0-5 versus UCLA and Arizona losing by an average margin of 18 points. The Panthers come into this game ultra-sharp knocking off North Carolina and giving Virginia all they could handle in the tournament semi-final. They’re a dangerous team right now and could give most of the top teams in the tournament a scare. Pittsburgh hasn’t been extending the margins on teams but keep in mind that Colorado has lost by 10 or greater points in 8 of their last 9 losses. Take the Pittsburgh Panthers -5.5

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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