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College Basketball Pick – Ole Miss Rebels vs. BYU Cougars Prediction

The Ole Miss Rebels face the BYU Cougars in the first round of the NCAA Tournament in a play-in game. Tipoff for the game is 9:10 at the University of Dayton Arena and it is available to view on TruTV.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: BYU -2.5
Over/Under Total Line: OFF
Moneyline: OFF

In their last game the favored Ole Miss -4.5 lost by 2 to South Carolina 60-58 in the first round of the SEC Tournament. The loss was their fourth in five games and the non-cover was their fifth ATS loss in their last six games.

BYU lost straight up to Gonzaga 91-75 in the WCC title game as an 8-point underdog. The 16-point margin easily covered the 8-point spread giving the Cougars just their second spread loss in the last nine games. BYU had won 8 straight, including beating a top 5 Gonzaga team before losing to them in the WCC title game.

BYU ranks 2nd in the nation in points per game (83.6 ppg).

The winning of this game will be the 11th seed in the NCAA Tournament and face Xavier in the next game.

SU and ATS Records

Ole Miss Rebels: 20-12 SU / 16-14-1 ATS
BYU Cougars: 25-9 SU / 16-17 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• MISS is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• MISS is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.
• MISS has an Over record of 5-0 in their last 5 non-conference games.
• BYU is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
• BYU is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• BYU has an Over record of 4-1 in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.

Sagarin Rankings

Ole Miss Rebels: 82.03
BYU Cougars: 83.85

Player Injuries




F] 12/11/2014 – Nate Austin out for season ( Hamstring )
(!)[G] 03/15/2015 – Anson Winder missed last game, “?” Tuesday vs. Mississippi ( Knee )
[G] 03/15/2015 – Skyler Halford “?” Tuesday vs. Mississippi ( Leg )
[G] 11/13/2014 – Jordan Chatman out for season ( Ankle )
[F] 11/13/2014 – Kyle Davis out for season ( Eligibility )
[F] 11/10/2014 – Jamal Aytes out indefinitely ( Ankle )

Free NCAAB Pick

My first thought on this game was the over with both teams able to put up points, but none of the books have posted up a line at this point in time. There is no argument that the Cougars haven’t played as tough a schedule as the Rebels with the 75th ranked schedule compared to Mississippi’s 49th. They also don’t have many marque victories to hang their hat on with really only the win over their conference foe Gonzaga as their only quality win. Ole Miss was certainly not playing their best basketball of the season down the stretch with 4 losses in their last 5 games, but did have some quality wins over Cincinnati, Oregon and Arkansas and took Kentucky to OT before losing by 3.

Take the Mississippi Rebels +3‏

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