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Cleveland Browns vs. Cincinnati Bengals ATS Pick

Time: 1:00 PM EST Sunday November 17, 2013, Fox

The Cincinnati Bengals host the Cleveland Browns in a AFC North divisional match up.

In their last game 2 weeks ago Cleveland beat Baltimore 24-18 at home, as a 1 point underdog.

Last week Cincinnati lost in OT to the Ravens 20-17 in Baltimore. The Bengals trailing 17-10 got the miracle 50 yard hail mary touchdown as time expired to send the game into extra time. The celebration was short lived, when Justin Tucker kicked the game winning 46 yard field goal in OT.

These 2 teams last met in week 4 when the Browns beat the Bengals 17-6 in Cleveland, as a 3.5 point underdog. Cincinnati has won 6 out of their last 10 meetings.

Cleveland is 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 visits to Cincinnati.

These 2 teams have gone Over the posted total in 4 out of the last 5 times they faced each other.

The underdog is were you want to have your money when these 2 teams meet, in the last 16 games the dog has gone 12-3-1 against the spread.

This season Cincinnati is 4-0 at home and Cleveland is 1-3 on the road.

Betting Odds at Bovada
Point Spread: Cincinnati -6
Over/Under Total Line: 41
Moneyline: Browns +225 / Bengals -255

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Cleveland Browns: 4-5 SU 5-4 ATS
Cincinnati Bengals: 6-4 SU 5-4-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• CLEV is 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. AFC North.
• CLEV is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• CLEV is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• CINC is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
• CINC is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• CINC is 3-9-2 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC North.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Cleveland Browns: 17.12
Cincinnati Bengals: 23.90

Key Player Injuries

Cleveland
[RB] 11/15/2013 – Willie McGahee Prob Sunday (Knee)
[LB] 11/14/2013 – Eric Martin Prob Sunday (Knee)
[QB] 11/13/2013 – Jason Campbell Prob Sunday (Ribs)
[OL] 11/11/2013 – Jason Pinkston Ques Sunday (Ankle)
[OL] 11/15/2013 – MarQueis Gray Out Sunday (Hamstring)
[LB] 11/14/2013 – Quentin Groves I-R (Ankle)
[WR] 10/29/2013 – Travis Benjamins I-R (Knee)
[DB] 10/20/2013 – Josh Aubrey I-R (Knee)
[WR] 10/16/2013 – Charles Johnson I-R (Knee)
[QB] 10/13/2013 – Brian Hoyer I-R (Knee)
[OL] 9/4/2013 – Chris Faulk I-R (Knee)
[RB] 8/26/2013 – Dion Lewis I-R (Leg)

Cincinnati
[TE] 11/16/2013 – Jermaine Gresham Prob Sunday (Groin)
[C] 11/16/2013 – Kyle Cook Prob Sunday (Shoulder)
[LB] 11/15/2013 – Michael Boley Prob Sunday (Hamstring)
[DT] 11/15/2013 – Brandon Thompson Prob Sunday (Ankle)
[DT] 11/11/2013 – Devon Still Ques Sunday (Elbow)
[DB] 11/15/2013 – Chris Crocker Doub Sunday (Hamstring)
[G] 11/15/2013 – Kevin Zeitler Doub Sunday (Ankle)
[LB] 10/28/2013 – Rey Maualuga Late Nov (Knee)
[T] 9/4/2013 – Torian White Out indefinitely (Ankle)
[QB] 9/4/2013 – Zac Robinson Out indefinitely (Back)
[DT] 11/4/2013 – Geno Atkins I-R (Knee)
[S] 10/30/2013 – Taylor Mays I-R (Shoulder)
[CB] 10/29/2013 – Leon Hall I-R (Achilles)
[DE] 9/18/2013 – Robert Geathers I-R (Elbow)
[LB] 9/4/2013 – Emmanuel Lamur I-R (Shoulder)
[LB] 9/4/2013 – Sean Porter I-R (Shoulder)
[LB] 9/2/2013 – Brandon Joiner I-R (Shoulder)

Next Game
Pittsburgh @ Cleveland
Cincinnati @ San Diego

Our Selection : The Bengals have lost two games in a row with both losses coming in overtime. Close calls sure, but something doesn’t seem right with Cincinnati and that starts with Andy Dalton. The Bengals signal caller has been sacked 10 times in his last 2 games and certainly the offensive has to take some blame for it, but he Dalton just doesn’t seem to be making the reads quick enough. His accuracy has been off with 6 INT’s in his last 2. Last week Dalton needed a very lucky 51 yards Hail Mary completion as regulation time was running out to surpass 200 yards passing!
It doesn’t look to get better this week facing Cleveland’s No. 5 sack unit and the No. 10 unit in passing yards per game.
Cincinnati’s defensive stats are also solid, but numerous starters are banged up or out including all-world DT Geno Atkins and starting LB’s Rey Maualuga and Vontage Burflict which leaves a huge gap up the middle. Cleveland’s offense has been OK with Jason Campbell at the helm and should have success this week.
The Browns won the earlier meeting and were full value for the victory. Cleveland out-yarded Cincinnati 336-266 and held the Bengals to only 203 yards passing. There is no reason to think that a rested Browns team can not hold their own this week against a struggling QB and battered defense.
Take the Cleveland Browns +6 at Bovada and get up to a 50% Bonus.

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