Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction and Betting Odds
- Updated: April 17, 2015
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction and Betting Odds. The 5-4 Cincinnati Reds are set to take on the 5-3 St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri tonight April 17, 2015, first pitch is scheduled 8:15 PM
Moneylines: Reds +125 / Cardinals -135
O/U: 6.5 runs
Pitching Match Up
Cincinnati: Johnny Cueto (0-1, 0.64 ERA)
St. Louis: Michael Wacha (1-0, 1.42 ERA)
In their last games: The Cardinals beat the Milwaukee Brewers 4-0 and the Reds lost to the Chicago Cubs 5-0.
The Reds go into St. Louis in the first game of a 3-game series. Johnny Cueto gets the starting nod for Cincinnati at 0-1 in 2 starts and Michael Wacha goes for the Cardinals at 1-0 winning his first start of the season. The Cardinals open at -135 at home with the line sitting at 6.5 runs. The Cardinals are hitting as a team, ranking 9th in team batting average, but are not getting hits with runners on base only ranking 24th in runs scored. The Reds only rank 19th in the Majors in runs scored and 24th in team batting average and after a solid start winning their first 4 games they have lost 4 of their last 5. On the other side of the coin the Cardinals have won 4 of their last 5 games. In their last 2 games, both wins, St. Louis has only given up a combined 2 runs.
Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:
The Reds are 1-4 in Cueto’s last 5 starts against the Cardinals.
In the last 5 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Over 4 times.
The Cardinals are 44-19 in their last 63 home games against the Reds.
This season the Cardinals are 2-1 at home and the Reds 1-2 on the road.
Cincinnati Reds: 5-4 SU / O/U 4-4-1 / Run Line W/L 6-3
St. Louis Cardinals: 5-3 SU / O/U 3-5 / Run Line W/L 5-3
• CINCY is 6-21 in their last 27 road games.
• CINCY is 1-4 in their last 5 overall.
• CINCY has an Over record of 6-1-1 in their last 8 games after a loss.
• STL is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• STL is 40-18 in their last 58 home games.
• STL has an Under record of 10-4 in their last 14 home games.
04/16/15 Devin Mesoraco C Hip Questionable for April 17 at St. Louis
04/12/15 Homer Bailey SP Elbow 15-day DL. On Triple-A rehab assignment. Might return April 18 at St. Louis
04/07/15 Jason Bourgeois CF Shoulder 60-day DL. Out until at least mid-June
04/07/15 Sean Marshall RP Shoulder 60-day DL. Out until at least mid-June
04/07/15 Jaime Garcia SP Shoulder 15-day DL. Out until at least late April
04/07/15 Thomas Pham CF Quadriceps 15-day DL. Out until at least early May
Free MLB Pick
Neither team is lighting up the scoreboard so far early in the season and the Cardinals have been winning with their pitching, which ranks 3rd in the Majors in team ERA. These 2 NL Central rivals have already met this season and in Cincinnati the Cardinals took the series 2-1 winning the last 2 games. In Game 2 in that series Cueto got the start and only gave up 1 earned run in 7 innings, but took a no decision. He is 0-1 on the season only giving up 1 earned run and he has an ERA of only 0.62, but has gotten very little run support. He is 2-3 with an ERA of 5.80 in his last 8 starts at St. Louis.
Wacha was the winning pitcher in the last game facing the Reds and he had a solid outing in Cincy going 6 innings and only giving up 1 earned run. The total is set low for this game so I would stay away from that and at home the Cardinals will take Game 1 of this series tonight in what will be a pitching duel.