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Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers Total Pick

Time: 7:15 PM EST Saturday June 14, 2014 FOX

Location: Miller Park, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

The Milwaukee Brewers host the Cincinnati Reds in a National League match up.

In their last games: In yesterday’s Game 1 the Reds beat the Brewers 6-5.

Billy Hamilton hit a RBI single in the 9th inning in the Cincinnati Reds win.

The Reds have won 4 of 5 from the Brewers this season.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Brewers are 9-4 in their last 13 home games against the Reds.

Mat Latos is making his first start of the season after coming off the DL and last season he was 14-7 with an ERA of 3.16.

The Brewers are 4-0 in Vovani Gallardo’s last 4 home starts against the Reds.

Both teams are 5-5 in their last 10 games, but the Reds have won 3 straight games while the Brewers are coming off a loss.

Pitching Match Up
Cincinnati: Mat Latos (0-0, 0.00 ERA)
Milwaukee Brewers: Yovana Gallardo (4-4, 3.71 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Reds +114 / Brewers -124
Run Line: Milwaukee -1.5 +170
Total Line: 7.5 Over -115

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Cincinnati Reds: 31-34 SU / O/U 28-34 / Run Line W/L 34-31
Milwaukee Brewers: 40-27 SU / O/U 34-30 / Run Line W/L 34-33

Key Betting Trends
• CINCY is 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
• CINCY is 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
• CINCY has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.
• MIL is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• MIL is 5-2 in their last 7 home games.
• MIL has an Over record of 8-1 in their last 9 home games.

Key Player Injuries

BREWERS
Tyler Thornburg RP D.L. Jun 7 elbow Out indefinitely
Jim Henderson RP D.L. May 2 shoulder Out indefinitely
Tom Gorzelanny R D.L. Mar 30 shoulder

REDS
Trevor Bell RP D.L. Apr 8 elbow June?
Jack Hannahan 3B D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Out indefinitely
Mat Latos SP D.L. Mar 30 elbow June 14
Brett Marshall SP D.L. Mar 30 finger

Total Pick

The Reds’ Mat Latos will be making his first start of the season tonight against the Brewers. He claims he is close to 100%, but admits that it will take some innings to shake off the rust. He’s not the only player that should bolster the roster. Joey Votto was back in the lineup last night after missing 23 games and while he didn’t tear the cover off of the ball in his first game back, he did get an RBI in their 6-5 win. The inconsistent Yovani Gollardo gets the start for the Brewers bringing his 5.05 night game ERA to the mound. A slew of players on the Reds have had success against Gollardo including Ryan Ludwick, Jay Bruce, Todd Frazier and Brandon Phillips all with career batting averages of .350 or better, so this may not be the game for him to improve on his numbers. We do get under trending home plate umpire Brian O’Nora to keep me from over betting this, but the value is still there for a play on the total.
Take Over 7.5 +105

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