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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs Betting Pick

Time: 8:05 PM EST Monday June 23, 2014 WCIU

Location: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois

The Chicago Cubs host the Cincinnati Reds in a National League match up.

In their last games: The Cubs lost to the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1 and the Reds beat the Toronto Blue Jays 4-3.

In their loss to the Pirates the Cubs gave up 2 runs in the 3rd inning and didn’t have an answer until the 9th when they got to the bullpen for 1 run.

The Reds scored 3 runs combined in the 4th and 5th inning and while they gave up a run in the 9th their pitching was solid giving up only 6 hits in the win over the Blue Jays.

The Reds are 3-2 facing the Cubs this season.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The Reds are 21-7 in their last 28 games against the Cubs in Chicago.

The Cubs are 0-4 in Jeff Samardzija’s last 4 starts against the Reds.

In the last 13 games between these 2 teams in Chicago the total has gone Over 9 times.

The Reds are 7-1 in Alfredo Simon’s last 8 road starts.

Pitching Match Up
Cincinnati Reds Alfredo Simon (10-3, 3.05 ERA)
Chicago Cubs: Jeff Samardzija (2-6, 2.60 ERA

Betting Odds

Money Line: Reds +106 / Cubs -116
Run Line: Chicago -1.5 +135
Total Line: OFF

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Cincinnati Reds: 36-37 SU / O/U 34-36 / Run Line W/L 38-35
Chicago Cubs: 31-41 SU / O/U 36-32 / Run Line W/L 38-34

Key Betting Trends
• CINCY is 7-2 in their last 9 road games.
• CINCY is 7-3 in their last 10 overall.
• CINCY has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.
• CHI is 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
• CHI is 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
• CHI has an Over record of 4-1-1 in their last 5 games.

Key Player Injuries

Emilio Bonifacio OF D.L. Jun 13 ribs Out indefinitely
Kyuji Fujikawa RP D.L. Mar 30 elbow Mid-2014
James McDonald SP D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Out indefinitely

Brandon Phillips 2B Out Jun 22 heel Status uncertain
Sean Marshall RP D.L. Jun 14 shoulder Out indefinitely
Trevor Bell RP D.L. Apr 8 elbow Out indefinitely
Jack Hannahan 3B D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Out indefinitely

Betting Pick:

Two good pitchers take the mound in Wrigley Field tonight with the Reds sending out Alfredo Simon and the Cubs countering with Jeff Samardzija. Simon has been a road warrior with a 7-1 win/loss record this season. Included in that is 6 scoreless innings back on April 18 against the Cubs. That was his first lifetime start against them and he has since notched his second win over them back in Cincinnati with 6 innings of 2 run ball. Semardzija has pitched well all season but has not received run support as witnessed by his team’s 3-12 record. He has been extremely good at home with a 1.64 ERA but as mentioned the hitters let him down as he’s only 1-3. The same story continues with two decent starts against the Reds (12 2/3 innings and 4 runs) this season resulting in losses with the Cubs scoring a combined 3 runs. The home team will also need to dispose of a hot Cincinnati team that is 5-2 in their last 7 with both losses coming in extra innings.
Take Cincinnati Reds +110.

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