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Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves Moneyline Pick

Time: 7:35 PM EST Friday April 25, 2014 FSS

Location: Turner Field, Atlanta, Georgia

The Atlanta Braves host the Cincinnati Reds in a National League match up.

In their last games: The Braves beat the Miami Marlins 3-1 and the Reds beat the Pittsburgh Pirates 2-1.

Atlanta’s Evan Gattis hit a 2-run double in the 8th inning for the go ahead runs in the Miami win.

Cincinnati’s Tony Cingrani had a good outing in the win over the Pirates going 6 innings and only giving up 1 earned run. Ryan Ludwick hit a 2-run double in the 6th inning for the only Cincinnati runs in the game.

This is the first game between these 2 teams this season.

We’re certainly not going to tell you that betting a higher percentage of underdogs is the best way to build your bankroll. But, if you follow that theory (we do), then why not get the best underdogs lines at this leading sportsbook. to check them out!!

Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

This season the Braves are 6-3 at home and the Reds are 7-6 on the road.

In the last 8 games between these 2 teams the Over record is 5-1-2.

The Reds are 4-1 in Homer Bailey’s last 5 starts against the Braves.

This season Ervin Santana is holding opponents to a .178 average and he has 24 strikeouts in 21 innings.

Pitching Match Up
Cincinnati Reds: Homer Bailey (1-1, 5.75 ERA)
Atlanta Braves: Ervin Santana (2-0, 0.86 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Reds +135 / Braves -145
Run Line: Atlanta -1.5 +150
Total Line: 7

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Cincinnati Reds: 11-11 SU / O/U 10-11 / Run Line W/L 13-9
Atlanta Braves: 14-7 SU / O/U 7-13 / Run Line W/L 14-7

Key Betting Trends
• CINCY is 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
• CINCY is 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
• CINCY has an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
• ATL is 9-3 in their last 12 overall.
• ATL is 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• ATL has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games.

Key Player Injuries

Trevor Bell RP D.L. Apr 8 elbow Late April?
Skip Schumaker 2B D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Early May?
Aroldis Chapman RP D.L. Mar 30 head Mid-May?
Mat Latos SP D.L. Mar 30 elbow Out indefinitely
Brett Marshall SP D.L. Mar 30 finger Out indefinitely
Jack Hannahan 3B D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Out indefinitely

Brandon Beachy SP D.L. Mar 30 elbow 2015
Kris Medlen SP D.L. Mar 28 arm 2015
Cory Gearrin RP D.L. Mar 25 elbow 2015
Mike Minor SP D.L. Mar 23 shoulder Late April
Gavin Floyd SP D.L. Mar 23 elbow Early May
Jonny Venters RP D.L. Mar 23 elbow Late May?

Moneyline Pick:

No argument here about Ervin Santana who has been lights out this season. Santana has opened the season with 3 quality starts allowing combined totals of 2 runs in 21 innings. He has yet to face the Reds in his career and while that usually is an advantage to the pitcher it is a question mark. Homer Bailey looked better in his latest shutting out the Cubs over 6 innings and may be rounding into top form. He has struck out 17 in his last 11 inning pitched but has some problem with the long ball at home versus Pittsburgh. The Reds are a less than impressive 11-11 on the season, but have been on a mini tear winning 7 of their last 9 games. Their bats have been especially solid with 4 or more runs in 10 straight before putting up 2 in their latest. The Braves after opening the season 11-4 have cooled out a bit going 3-3 over their last 6. Scoring has been the main issue for Atlanta putting up a total of 10 runs in their last 4. I was hoping for a Cincinnati +145 line, but I believe there is still value in the plus 130’s.
Take Cincinnati +135.

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