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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Over Under Prediction

Time: 8:30 PM EST Sunday December 15, 2013, ESPN

The Cincinnati Bengals look to extend their winning streak to 4 when they head into Steel town to take on their AFC North division rival the Pittsburgh Steelers this Sunday.

In their last games Pittsburgh lost 34-28 to the Miami Dolphins on the road as a 3 point underdog. The Bengals jumped out to a 14-0 lead at the half and went on to beat the Indianapolis Colts 42-28 in Cincinnati as a 7 point favorite.

Cincinnati beat the Steelers 20-10 back in Week 2’s Monday night game at home as a 7 point favorite. The Bengals have won the last 2 but Pittsburgh has won 6 out the last 10 times they’ve met.

The Steelers have covered the number in 10 out of their last 14 meetings.

These 2 teams have gone under the posted total in all 4 of their last 4 meetings. They also have an Under record of 4-0 in the last 4 games played in Pittsburgh.


The road team has a 16-7-1 record against the spread in the last 24 meetings between these 2 teams.

The betting favorite is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 games between these 2 teams.

This season Pittsburgh is 3-3 at home and Cincinnati is 3-4 on the road.

Betting Odds at
Point Spread: Cincinnati -2
Over/Under Total Line: 41.5
Moneyline: Bengals -127 / Steelers +107

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Cincinnati Bengals: 9-4 SU 8-4-1 ATS
Pittsburgh Steelers: 5-8 SU 6-7 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• CIN is 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games.
• CIN is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after allowing less than 90 rushing yards in their previous game.
• CIN is 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• PIT is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC North.
• PIT is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in December.
• PIT is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Cincinnati Bengals: 24.79
Pittsburgh Steelers: 16.53

Key Player Injuries

[G] 12/12/2013 – Kevin Zeitler Prob Sunday (Ankle)
[S] 12/12/2013 – George Iloka Prob Sunday (Head)
[RB] 12/12/2013 – BenJarvus Green-Ellis Prob Sunday (Illness)
[LB] 12/12/2013 – James Harrison Ques Sunday (Illness)
[CB] 12/9/2013 – Terence Newman Late Dec (Knee)
[T] 9/4/2013 – Tanner Hawkinson Out indefinitely (Ankle)
[QB] 9/4/2013 – Zac Robinson Out indefinitely (Back)
[G] 12/3/2013 – Clint Boling I-R (Knee)
[DT] 11/4/2013 – Geno Atkins I-R (Knee)
[S] 10/30/2013 – Taylor Mays I-R (Shoulder)
[CB] 10/29/2013 – Leon Hall I-R (Achilles)
[DE] 9/18/2013 – Robert Geathers I-R (Elbow)
[LB] 9/4/2013 – Emmanuel Lamur I-R (Shoulder)
[LB] 9/4/2013 – Sean Porter I-R (Shoulder)
[LB] 9/2/2013 – Brandon Joiner I-R (Shoulder)

[S] 12/13/2013 – Troy Polamalu Prob Sunday (Shoulder)
[WR] 12/10/2013 – Jerricho Cotchery Ques Sunday (Shoulder)
[DE] 12/10/2013 – Ziggy Hood Ques Sunday (Ankle)
[DE] 12/9/2013 – Brett Keisel Ques Sunday (Foot)
[G] 12/9/2013 – Kelvin Beachum Ques Sunday (Knee)
[DB] 11/30/2013 – Fernando Velasco I-R Out for the season (Achilles)
[DB] 11/26/2013 – Curtis Brown I-R Out for the season (Knee)
[DB] 11/6/2013 – Sean Spence I-R Out for the season (Knee)
[T] 10/15/2013 – Levi Brown I-R Out for the season (Tricep)
[TE] 10/15/2013 – David Johnson I-R (Wrist)
[WR] 10/7/2013 – Plaxico Burress I-R (Shoulder)
[C] 9/9/2013 – Maurkice Pouncey I-R Out for the season (Knee)
[LB] 9/9/2013 – Larry Foote I-R Out for the season (Bicep)
[RB] 9/9/2013 – LaRod Stephens-Howling I-R Out for the season (Knee)
[DE] 9/2/2013 – Nicholas Williams I-R Out for the season (Knee)

Next Game on Deck
Minnesota @ Cincinnati
Pittsburgh @ Green Bay

Over/Under Pick : The Steelers got run over for 181 yards last week against Miami and things are not looking up for the run defense. Nose tackle Steve McLendon is a big question mark to play and defensive end Brett Kieisel is out. Strong safety Troy Polamalu has a shoulder issue and may not be at full strength. Pittsburgh’s offensive line is beat up, but they are healthier this week than last with key left tackle Kelvin Beachum back after missing last week. He should help in passing game giving the Steelers Big Ben a little extra time to exploit the Bengals secondary that will be missing top starting CB Terrence Newman.
The last 4 in this series have gone UNDER the total, but we’re going to buck the trend here. The Bengals may just run all over the Steelers setting up a few big play action plays to WR Green. We also feel Pittsburgh should be able to get enough done on the ground to keep the pass rush of the Bengals in check. There should be some lots of room in the secondary for Antonio Brown.
Take the over 41.5 at and get reduced juice on every play.

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