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Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Memphis Tigers Betting Odds – Point Spread Pick

Time: 8:00 PM EST Wednesday October 30, 2013,ESPN / WatchESPN

The Memphis Tigers host the Cincinnati Bearcats in an AAC divisional match up.

In their last games Cincinnati beat Connecticut 41-16 at home, while Memphis lost to the SMU Mustangs 34-29 at home as a 3.5 point favorite.

These 2 teams haven’t met since 2004 when the Bearcats beat the Tigers 49-10.

This season Memphis is 1-3 at home and Cincinnati is 1-2 on the road.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes.
Point Spread: Cincinnati -3
Over/Under Total Line: 44.5
Moneyline: Bearcats -145 Tigers +125

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Cincinnati Bearcats: 5-2 SU 3-4 ATS
Memphis Tigers: 1-5 SU 3-3 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• CINCY is 9-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
• CINCY is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
• CINCY is 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• Memphis is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• Memphis is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
• Memphis is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Cincinnati Bearcats: 70.16
Memphis Tigers: 63.03

Key Player Injuries

Cincinnati
[WR] 10/28/2013 – Alex Chisum Ques Wednesday (Ankle)
[WR] 10/28/2013 – Chris Burrell Ques Wednesday (Shoulder)
[DB] 10/28/2013 – Drake Bruns Ques Wednesday (Knee)
[WR] 10/28/2013 – Javon Harrison Ques Wednesday (Undisclosed)
[DB] 10/6/2013 – Mark Barr Out indefinitely (Undisclosed)

Memphis
[WR] 10/17/2013 – Bobby McCain Out indefinitely (Undisclosed)

Next Game
SMU @ Cincinnati
Tennessee-Martin @ Memphis

Our Selection : The Bearcats are just not the same this season. They’re 5-2 on the season beating Purdue (1-6), Crushed by Illinois (3-4), beat Northwestern State (Div 1-AA), Miami Ohio (0-8), lost to South Florida (2-5), beat Temple (1-7) and beat Connecticut (0-7). That certainly isn’t something that would put a scare into any team except for the cellar dwellers of DIV 1-A. Note that the only teams they faced with more than 1 win on the season they lost to. Keep in mind that Cincinnati has only 1-3 on the road beating only lowly Miami Ohio 14-0.
If you think by glancing at Memphis 1-5 record that they are a team that should be considered in the same category as the majority of the Bearcats sad sack opponents. You’d be wrong. The Tigers’ strength of schedule has been more challenging by a large margin. Games against Duke 6-2, Central Florida 6-1 and Houston 6-1 are teams far superior to anything Cincinnati has faced in 2013. In fact you could argue that this season to date that Cincinnati has had the weakest strength of schedule in Div 1-A.
The key here we believe will be the Memphis defense. The Bearcats scored 17 vs. Illinois and 20 versus South Florida in their two losses on the season and have scored a total of 51 points in the 3 games for an average of 17 points per game. The Tigers rank No. 7th in the nation in rushing yards allowed per game so we think that they’ll be able to handle Jordan Luallen, Hosey Williams and the rest of the backs. We also have heard rumors about the health of Bradon Kay who is supposed to start, but is nursing an assortment of injuries.
WE like the Memphis Tigers +3 and you may want to toss a few bucks down on the moneyline in a game we’re calling for an outright Memphis victory.
Take the Memphis Tigers +3 at 5Dimes and get reduced juice on every play.

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