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Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Louisville Cardinals ATS Pick

Time: 7:00 PM EST Thursday January 30, 2014, ESPN / WatchESPN

Location: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, Kentucky

The 12th ranked Louisville Cardinals host the 13th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats in an American Athletic Conference match up.

In their last games: Cincinnati beat Temple 80-76 and Louisville beat South Florida 86-47

Cincinnati was solid on both sides of the court in their win over Temple shooting 54.7% from the floor and holding Temple to 38.2% shooting.

In their dominating win over South Florida Louisville shot 50% from the field and the game was over early with the Cardinals jumping out to a 45-22 halftime lead.

In the last game between these 2 teams Louisville was at home and beat Cincinnati 67-51.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

The favorite has covered the spread in the last 4 games between these 2 teams.

Cincinnati has won their only game facing a ranked team this season and Louisville is 0-3 facing teams in the top 25.

The big match up in this game is Louisville and their 13th ranked scoring offense facing a Cincinnati defense that ranks 5th in the nation.

The Louisville defense has held their last 4 conference opponents to under 37% shooting and have forced an average o 16.3 turnovers.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Louisville -9.5
Total Line: 131.5
Money Line: Bearcats +380 / Cardinals -475

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Louisville Cardinals: 19-2 SU 9-6 ATS
Cincinnati Bearcats: 17-3 SU 10-8 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• CINCY is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• CINCY is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 road games.
• CINCY has an Under record of 20-8 in their last 28 road games.
• LOUIS is 15-7 ATS in their last 22 home games.
• LOUIS is 21-10 ATS in their last 31 games overall.
• LOUIS has an Over record of 16-5 in their last 21 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Cincinnati Bearcats: 86.75
Louisville Cardinals: 89.52

Key Player Injuries

[F] 01/29/2014 – Justin Jackson Ques Thursday ( Ankle )
[F] 01/10/2014 – Jermaine Lawrence out indefinitely ( Toe )
[C] 12/28/2013 – Jamaree Strickland out for season ( Eligibility )
[G] 12/12/2013 – Jeremiah Davis III has left team ( Personal )
[G] 11/19/2013 – Deshaun Morman redshirt ( Foot )

[G] 01/22/2014 – Chris Jones Prob Thursday ( Oblique )
[G] 12/30/2013 – Kevin Ware out for season ( Shin )
[F] 12/31/2013 – Chane Behanan has been dismissed ( Dismissed )

Point Spread Pick:

Admittedly the Cardinals’ difficulty of schedule stands out when comparing these two teams’ records; nevertheless the Bearcats have won 12 straight games. Cincinnati has handled the underdog role well going 2-1 ATS and a more impressive 2-1 straight up which included wins over quality opponents Pittsburgh and Memphis.
Take the Cincinnati Bearcats +9.5
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