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Chick Fil A Bowl Betting Total Pick

8:00 PM EST Tuesday December 31, 2013, ESPN

The Duke Blue Devils from the ACC face the Texas A&M Aggies from the SEC in the Chick Fil A Bowl at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta Georgia.

In their last games Duke lost to Florida State 45-7 in the ACC title game on the road as a 30 point underdog. Texas A&M lost to the Missouri Tigers 28-21 on the road as a 4.5 point underdog.

The Blue Devils had their 8-game winning streak snapped with a loss to the top ranked team in the nation Florida State in the ACC title game.

The Aggies lost their last 2 games of the season and all 4 of their losses this season came facing ranked teams Auburn(2), Alabama(3), Missouri(9) and LSU(14).

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Duke has the nation’s 47th ranked defense and have to contend with a Aggies’ offense that ranks 5th in the nation in scoring.

This season Texas A&M QB Johnny Manziel passed for 3,732 yards with 33 TD and also was the team’s leading rusher.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Texas A&M -12
Over/Under Total Line: 75
Moneyline: Duke +400/ Texas A&M -450

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records

Duke Blue Devils: 10-3 SU 10-3 ATS
Texas A&M Aggies: 8-4 SU 5-7 ATS
Key Betting Trends

  • DUKE is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • DUKE is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
  • DUKE has an Under record of 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
  • A&M is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
  • A&M is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • A&M has an Over record of 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.

Sagarin Power Rankings

Duke Blue Devils: 75.85
Texas A&M Aggies: 87.04

Key Player Injuries

DUKE

[QB] 12/16/2013 – Brandon Connette Ques Tuesday (Undisclosed)
[DL] 12/16/2013 – Jonathan Woodruff Ques Tuesday (Arm)
[DE] 12/16/2013 – Michael Mann Ques Tuesday (Upper Body)
[RB] 12/9/2013 – Eric Adams Ques Tuesday (Upper Body)
[T] 12/16/2013 – Perry Simmons out for season (Knee)
[DE] 10/15/2013 – Jamal Wallace out for season (Ankle)
[LB] 08/30/2013 – Britton Grier out indefinitely ( Upper Body )
[DB] 08/30/2013 – Jared Boyd out indefinitely (Leg)
[QB] 08/30/2013 – Thomas Sirk out indefinitely (Achilles)
[OL] 08/17/2013 – Tanner Stone out for season (Ankle)

TEXAS A&M

[LB] 12/9/2013 – Cody Johnson Ques Tuesday (Ankle)
[LB] 12/23/2013 – Darian Claibourne Out Tuesday (Suspension)
[DB] 11/09/2013 – Kenneth Marshall out indefinitely (Disciplinary)
[DT] 10/08/2013 – Kirby Ennis out for season (Knee)
[WR] 09/21/2013 – Ricky Seals-Jones out indefinitely (Knee)

Total Line Pick

The Duke defense was solid and could be considered a team strength over the later part of the season. They held all but Miami (30 points) and Florida State (45) to 25 or fewer points per game in their last 7 games. Admittedly, Texas A&M’s SEC opponents are a whole far superior to the majority of the teams in the ACC. However, the defensive play in the SEC and the overall talent saw a drop off this season. Mizzou and LSU held the Aggies high powered offense to 21 and 10 points in the final two games of the season. We can’t see any reason to not believe that the Blue Devils wouldn’t be diligent in going over their game plans and having some success slowing the Aggies down.
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