Chicago Bulls vs. Milwaukee Bucks Prediction Betting Pick
- Updated: April 30, 2015
The 43-44 Philadelphia 76ers host the 53-34 Chicago Bulls Game 6 in an Eastern Conference playoff series on 4/30/2015 at BMO Harris Bradley Center, Milwaukee, WI; Tipoff is at 7:00 PM ET.
Point Spread: Bulls -3.5
Over/Under Total Line: 187.5
In Game 5 the Bulls were at home and lost to the Bucks failing to cover as the 8-point favorite. After covering the spread in the first 3 games of this series the Bulls have not covered in the last 2. The total for Game 5 was Under, which is the 2nd straight game in the series where that has been the winning bet. In their last 10 games the Bulls are 6-4 ATS and they have an Over/Under record of 5-5.
This season the Bulls are 21-23 ATS at home and 21-22 ATS on the road. They did not cover the spread in their last road game, but had done so in their previous 3 games. The Bulls have an O/U home record of 25-19 and an O/U road record of 17-25-1. In their last road game the posted total went Under while the Over bet was the winning one in their previous 2.
The Bucks have won 2 straight in this series and have covered the spread in both games. Before covering in the last 2 games Milwaukee failed to do so in their previous 4 games. The Under has been the winning bet for the Bucks in 3 of their last 4 games including their last 2. In their last 10 games the Bucks are 5-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 4-6.
On the season the Bucks are 21-22 ATS at home and 27-26-1 ATS on the road. The Bucks covered in their last game at home, but did not cover the spread in their previous 2 games. At home this season the Under has been the winning bet for Milwaukee at home with an O/U home record of 18-25 and an O/U road record of 21-23. In their last home game the posted total went Under and in the previous 2 it went Over.
The Bulls covered the spread in 3 of 4 games this regular season against the Bucks and covered in the first 3 games of this series before Milwaukee has covered the spread in the last 2. In the 9 games these 2 teams have faced each other this season the O/U record is 7-2 including the last 2 games
in this series.
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Some other angles to consider:
The Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games against the Bucks.
The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 games between these 2 teams.
In the last 9 games between these 2 teams the total has gone Under 7 times.
This season the Bucks are 23-19 at home and the Bulls are 24-19 on the road.
Chicago Bulls: 53-34 SU / 42-45 ATS
Milwaukee Bucks: 43-44 SU / 48-38-1 ATS
• CHI is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• CHI is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
• CHI has an Over record of 9-4 in their last 13 road games.
• MIL is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• MIL is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• MIL has an Under record of 8-3 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Chicago Bulls: 92.54
Milwaukee Bucks: 89.87
[G] 04/28/2015 – Michael Carter-Williams probable Thursday vs. Chicago ( Ankle )
[F] 12/17/2014 – Jabari Parker out for season ( Ankle )
[F] 10/25/2014 – Damien Inglis out for season ( Foot )
Free NBA Pick
It looked as if the Bucks were down and out after being down 3-0 in the series, but they have won the last 2 games to get back in it. History is on the side of the Bulls, as no team has ever won a best of 7 playoff series after being down 3-0. Derrick Rose has really been struggling, as in the last 2 games he is a combined 10/33 form the field and in Game 5 he missed all 7 of his 3-pointers. In the last 2 games Chicago is only shooting 40.5% from the floor.
Only 3 teams have ever come back to force a Game 7 after being down 3-0 and the Bucks will not be the 4th team, as the Bulls will regroup after 2 days rest and win and cover the spread.