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Chicago Bears vs. New York Jets Betting Pick

Opening Line: Jets -2.5
Over/Under: 45.5

Time: 8:30 PM EST Monday September 22, 2014 on ESPN / WatchESPN

Chicago Bears (1-1) vs. New York Jets (1-1)

The Jets blew a big lead in their last game and then an error by the coaching staff calling a time out negated a game tying TD. They are home betting favorites this Monday night facing the Bears, who had a huge comeback win at San Francisco in their last game.

The Bears really needed a win last week after their home OT loss to the Bills in the opener. Chicago is 1-1 along with every other team in the NFC North and they have a big division game next week hosting the Green Bay Packers.

The Jets are in a need of a win this week, as their next 4 games are killer facing 3 teams that made the playoffs last season, including the Patriots and Broncos, with the only one not in the post-season is the dangerous Lions next week.

In their last games the Bears beat the San Francisco 49ers 28-20 and the Jets lost to the Green Bay Packers 31-24.

The Bears are 1-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-1 and the Jets are 0-1-1 ATS with an Over/Under record of 1-1.

The Jets are 1-0 at home and the Bears are 1-0 on the road.

The Bears are 7-3 all time facing the Jets and they beat them in the last encounter, which was in 2010.

Jay Cutler passed for 3 TD in the 4th quarter in the win over the 49ers and he has 2 solid WR’s in Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery. The Jets’ pass rush will be key in this game, as they have to get to Cutler or he may torch the New York pass defense, which gave up 310 passing yards last week. The good news is that their pass rush did sack GB QB Aaron Rodgers 4 times.

Matt Forte had a solid game in the season opener, but then struggled last week facing a solid San Francisco defense. The New York run defense is the top-ranked unit after 2 games.

Geno Smith has been decent this season, but he only as 2 TD and has 2 INT. Erik Decker leads the less than stellar WR corps and while the Bears have yet to play a good passing team they have the league’s 10th ranked pass defense.

Where Chicago has struggled on defense is against the run, which is not good facing a Jets’ team that ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards per game. RB Chris Ivory is off to a great start and is averaging over 6 yards per carry and Chris Johnson has chimed in with 89 rushing yards. The Jets have to rely on the run and if Chicago can keep New York from racking up the yards on the ground they will be in good shape.

Betting Trends

The Bears are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win, and they have an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 games.

The Jets are 3-1-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, and they have an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games after a loss.

Over/Under Pick

The Bears don’t appear to have fixed their run defense allowing a 27th ranked 161 yards per game so far this season which doesn’t bode well for them on Monday night. The Jets lead the league with 179.0 rushing yards per game and their 5 yards per carry is good for 5th in the league. Chicago will have to hope that QB Jay Cutler who looks to be without two offensive linemen again this week will be able to get some time to throw. If he can his tandem of receivers Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall along with tight end Martellus Bennett will have a field day against New York’s out classed secondary.
Look for each team to do enough on offense to send this game over the posted total.

Take the OVER 45.5‏

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