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Central Florida Knights at Louisville Cardinals Betting Preview – Point Spread Pick

Time: 8:00 PM EST Friday October 18, 2013, ESPN / WatchESPN

The Louisville Cardinals host the Central Florida Knights in an AAC divisional match up.

In their last games Central Florida beat Memphis 24-17 on the road. While Louisville got past Rutgers 24-10 at home.

Louisville Junior Teddy Bridgewater has gotten off to a solid start, throwing for 1872 yards with 18 TD’s with a 71 Comp. Pct. and only 2 INT’s in his first 6 games.

The Cardinals strength lays with their stellar Defense were they’re 1st in points allowed, 2nd in yards given up per game, 2nd and 5th against the run and pass respectively and 1st in sacks with 23 in the nation.

The Knights Junior Blake Bortles has been steady with 9 TD’s 3 INT’s passing for 1334 yards with a 64 Comp. Pct. in his first 5 games this year.

Central Florida has been solid on D so far this year were they’re 11th in points allowed, 32nd in yards given up per game, 38th and 42nd against the run and pass respectively in the nation.

This season Louisville is 4-0 at home and Central Florida is 3-0 on the road.

Betting Odds at Bovada
Point Spread: Louisville -12.5
Over/Under Total Line: OFF

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Central Florida Knights: 4-1 SU 4-1 ATS
Louisville Cardinals: 6-0 SU 3-3 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• UCF is 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
• UCF is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss..
• UCF has gone Over in 7 of last 10 games following a SU win.
• LOU has gone Over in 5 of their last 7 Friday games.
• LOU is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Friday games.
• LOU has gone Over in 7 of their last 10 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Central Florida: 78.95
Louisville: 86.87

Key Player Injuries

[OL] 10/13/2013 – Torrian Wilson Questionable Friday (Knee)
[LB] 9/28/2013 – Willie Mitchell Out indefinitely (Suspension)

[WR] 9/3/2013 – Covin Lamb Out indefinitely (Knee)
[WR] 9/3/2013 – Hunter Bowles Out indefinitely (Neck)

Next Game
Connecticut vs. Central Florida
Louisville vs. South Florida

Our Selection : The Cardinals have dominated every team they have played this season going 6-0 with the lowest margin of victory being 14. The Knights do have the advantage of an extra week to prepare, but it’s not just the Teddy Bridgewater lead offense that is extending margins. Louisville’s defense has been more dominate than the offense holding opponents to 13 or fewer points per game.
Here’s a couple of stats to keep in mind before you lay down your money. The Cardinals rank No. 2 in the nation in rushing defense allowing a meager 68.3 yards a game which includes 60 yards in total rushing yards combined in their last 3!
The Knights offensive numbers against the Gamecocks were not a true indicator of the game in which Central Florida was completely outplayed in the 2nd half before a late rally to get the backdoor cover. The offensive statistics put up by the Knights against Memphis (270 total yards) are more of what we expect this week against Louisville. Cardinals 30 – Knights – 10
Take the Louisville Cardinals -12.5 at Bovada and get up to a 50% Bonus.

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