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NCAA Free Betting Pick: BYU Cougars versus Oregon Ducks

Time: 3:10 PM EST Thursday March 20, 2014, truTV

Location: MO Harris Bradley Center, Milwaukee, Wisconsin

The 10th seed BYU Cougars face the 7th seed Oregon Ducks in a West Region match up.

In their last games: BYU lost to Gonzaga 75-64 in the WCC tournament and Oregon lost to UCLA 82-63 in the Pac 12 conference tournament.

In their loss to Gonzaga BYU was down 17 points at halftime and for the game struggled only shooting 35.6% from the floor. They also played bad defense allowing the Bulldogs to shoot 52.1% from the field.

In their loss to UCLA Oregon did shoot ball that badly, but lost because of their defense, which allowed the Bruins to shoot 56.6% from the floor.

This season these 2 teams met at Oregon with the Ducks beating the Cougars 100-96 in OT.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

This season BYU ranks 3rd in the nation in scoring and Oregon ranks 11th.

Oregon is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 NCAA tournament games.

BYU not only lost to Gonzaga in the WCC finals, but also lost Kyle Collinsworth for the season with a knee injury. His loss is a big one, as he ranks 2nd on the team in scoring and 1st in rebounding and assists per game.

Betting Odds

Point Spread: – Oregon -5.5
Total Line: 158
Money Line: Cougars +190 / Ducks -230

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
BYU Cougars: 23-11 SU 13-18 ATS
Oregon Ducks: 23-9 SU 17-11-3 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• BYU is 19-40 ATS in their last 59 neutral site games.
• BYU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• BYU has an Under record of 6-2 in their last 8 non-conference games.
• OREG is 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
• OREG is 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
• OREG has an Under record of 12-4 in their last 16 games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
BYU Cougars: 83.39
Oregon Ducks: 85.56

Key Player Injuries

[G] 03/16/2014 – Kyle Collinsworth injured last game, out for season ( ACL )

[F] 12/21/2013 – Brian Crow out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[F] 01/29/2014 – Arik Armstead left the team ( Personal )
[G] 01/19/2014 – A.J. Lapray out indefinitely ( Ankle )

Betting Pick:

The Oregon Ducks are the public choice here and why not? Before getting blown out by UCLA the Ducks had won 8 straight including nice wins over Arizona and UCLA. Oregon did struggle in January going 2-6 straight up, but 3 of their losses were by a combined 8 points. That being said, BYU may surprise here. The Cougars record away from home is not so impressive 8-10, but they were 3-2 in neutral site games. Some may think that this game may be a big step up in class for BYU, but keep in mind that these two met back in December in Oregon with the Ducks getting the narrow 4-point win in OT. That game marked the third time that the Cougars tipped off against a Pac-12 team where they held their own beating Stanford but losing to Utah in the other two. BYU also had games against Big 12 conference winner Iowa State (lost by 2) and unbeaten Missouri Valley conference champion Wichita State (lost by 13).
Take the Brigham Young Cougars + 5.5.

Why waste money? Bet this game at and lay -105 instead of -110!

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