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Brooklyn Nets vs. Atlanta Hawks Pick and Betting Odds

The 60-22 Atlanta Hawks host the 38-44 Brooklyn Nets in a Game 1 in an Eastern Conference playoff series on 4/19/2015 at Philips Arena, Atlanta, GA; Tipoff is at 5:30 PM ET.

Wagering Odds

Point Spread: Hawks -10
Over/Under Total Line: 201.5

In their last game the Nets were at home and beat the Orlando Magic 101-88 where they covered as a 9-point betting favorite. They failed to cover the spread in their previous 2 games. The total for the Magic game went Under and while the total went Over the previous game the Under has been the winning bet in 3 of their last 4 games. In their last 10 games the Nets are 5-5 ATS and they have an O/U record of 4-6. Overall, the Nets are 6-4 in their last 10 games.

The Nets have been a much better road betting team (23-18 ATS) than at home (16-23-2 ATS) this season. They have failed to cover the spread in their last 3 games on the road. This season the Nets have an O/U record at home of 20-21 and an O/U record on the road of 17-24. While in the last Brooklyn road game the total went Under in the previous 2 the Over was the winning bet.

The Hawks were on the road in their last game and they lost to the Chicago Bulls 91-85 where they did not cover as 5.5-point underdogs. They have failed to cover the spread in their last 2 games and in their last 10 games they are 5-4-1 ATS. The total for the Bulls game went Under while the previous 2 games went Over.
In their last 10 games Atlanta has an O/U record of 6-4. Overall, the Hawks lost their last 3 games of the season and were 5-5 in their last 10.

This season the Hawks have been a solid bet at home (26-15 ATS) as well as on the road (24-15-2 ATS). They did not cover in their last home game, but did so in their previous 4. This season Atlanta has a home O/U record of 20-21 and a road O/U record of 22-19. In their last home game the total went Over while in the previous 3 games the Under was the winning bet.

The Hawks beat the Nets in all 4 games facing them this season Atlanta covered the spread in 3 of their 4 games facing the Nets this season. In 3 of the 4 games between these 2 teams this season the Over was the winning bet including the last 2.

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Some other angles to consider:

The Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Nets.

The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 games between these 2 teams.

The road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between these 2 teams.

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams in Atlanta the total has gone Over 4 times.

This season the Hawks are 35-6 at home and the Nets are 19-22 on the road.

SU and ATS Records

Brooklyn Nets: 38-44 SU / 39-41-2 ATS
Atlanta Hawks: 60-22 SU / 50-30-2 ATS

Key Betting Trends

• BKL is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
• BKL is 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
• BKL has an Over record of 5-2 in their last 7 road games.
• ATL is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
• ATL is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
• ATL has an Over record of 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.

Sagarin Rankings

Brooklyn Nets: 87.67
Atlanta Hawks: 95.57

Injury Report

NETS

04/17/15 Alan Anderson SG Ankle Questionable for Game 1 of Eastern Conference Quarterfinals at Atlanta
04/17/15 Darius Morris PG Illness Questionable for Game 1 of Eastern Conference Quarterfinals at Atlanta
03/11/15 Sergey Karasev SG Knee Out for season
01/23/15 Mirza Teletovic PF Chest Out for season

HAWKS

04/17/15 Mike Scott PF Back Questionable for Game 1 of Eastern Conference Quarterfinals vs. Brooklyn
04/17/15 Thabo Sefolosha SF Out for Season

Free NBA Pick

At the home stretch the Nets were playing well, but at the end they lost 3 of their last 5 games. They are getting 10 points as the road underdog in this game and the Nets played the Hawks twice in their last 7 games losing twice and in the game in Atlanta they lost by 32 points.

Brooklyn may not win this game, but unlike the last game in Atlanta they will not be embarrassed and they will cover the double-digit spread.

Take the NETS -10

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