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Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians Moneyline Prediction

Time: 7:05 PM EST Monday June 2, 2014

Location: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio

The Cleveland Indians host the Boston Red Sox in a American League match up.

In their last games: The Red Sox beat the Tampa Bay Rays 4-0 and the Indians beat the Colorado Rockies 6-4.

In the game with the Rays yesterday Jon Lester threw 7 shutout innings and the bullpen did the rest in holding Tampa Bay to 5 hits in the 4-0 Boston win.

In the game with the Rockies yesterday’s Cleveland’s Michael Bourn hit a walk off HR in the 9th for the Indians win.

This is the first meeting between these 2 teams this season.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

In the last 4 games between these 2 teams in Cleveland the total has gone Over every time.

The Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games against the Indians in Cleveland.

After losing 10 straight the Red Sox have won 7 in a row and the Indians are riding a 3-game winning streak.

The Red Sox are 4-1 in John Lackey’s last 5 starts as a favorite.

Justin Masterson is 0-2 with a 9.98 ERA over his last 3 starts.

Pitching Match Up
Boston Red Sox: John Lackey (6-3, 3.27 ERA)
Cleveland Indians: Justin Masterson (2-4, 5.21 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Red Sox -113 / Indians +103
Run Line: Boston -1.5 +140
Total Line: 8 Under -120

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Boston Red Sox 27-29 SU / O/U 22-32 / Run Line W/L 25-31
Cleveland Indians: 27-30 SU / O/U 31-24 / Run Line W/L 26-31

Key Betting Trends
• BOS is 7-0 in their last 7 overall.
• BOS is 4-10 in their last 14 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
• BOS has an Under record of 5-0 in their last 5 games.
• CLE is 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
• CLE is 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
• CLE has an Over record of 9-1 in their last 10 games.

Key Player Injuries

RED SOX
Mike Carp 1B D.L. Jun 1 foot Status uncertain
Ryan Lavarnway 1B D.L. May 30 wrist Out indefinitely
Clay Buchholz SP D.L. May 28 knee June 11?
Mike Napoli 1B D.L. May 25 finger June 8
Shane Victorino OF D.L. May 24 hamstring Out indefinitely
Felix Doubront SP D.L. May 21 shoulder Out indefinitely
Will Middlebrooks 3B D.L. May 17 Late May?
Steven Wright RP D.L. Mar 27 middle body Early June?
Ryan Dempster SP Suspended Feb 23 2015

INDIANS
Carlos Santana 3B D.L. May 27 concussion June 6?
Nick Swisher 1B D.L. May 27 knee Early June?
Zach McAllister SP D.L. May 22 back Early June?
Nyjer Morgan OF D.L. May 15 knee Out indefinitely

Moneyline Prediction:

The Boston Red Sox have been on a roll winning 6 straight and look to continue their stellar play in Cleveland where they swept the Indians last season. Cleveland Indians starter Justin Materson has been having a rough 2014 registering a QS in only 41.7% of his starts and zero in his last 4. At home he’s been marginally better with a 2-1 record and 4.72 ERA but does have a 66.7% QS ratio. The Bosox had little trouble getting their bats on Masterson’s offerings banging out 17 hits and scoring 9 runs in just 11 innings. Boston starter John Lackey after allowing back-to-back-opponents to score 6 runs in the early season has allowed two or fewer runs in 6 of next 7 starts. Every square and his brother will have the Red Sox tomorrow, but it looks like the sharp play and it’s where my money will be.
Take Boston Red Sox -113.

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