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Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns Betting Preview – Point Spread Pick

Time: 4:25 PM EST Sunday November 3, 2013, FOX

The Cleveland Browns host the Baltimore Ravens in a AFC North divisional match up.

In their last games the Baltimore lost to divisional rival Pittsburgh 19-16 on the road, while Cleveland lost to the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs 23-17 on the road as a 7.5 point underdog.

The Cleveland Browns look to split the series losing to the Ravens in Week 2, 14-6 in Baltimore.

These 2 teams have a Under record of 6-0 in their last 6 games and also have a Under record of 4-0 in the last 4 games in Cleveland.

Baltimore has covered the spread in 8 out of the last 11 times these 2 teams faced each other.

Ravens are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Cleveland.

The road team has a record of 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

This season Cleveland is 2-2 at home and Baltimore is 1-3 on the road.

Betting Odds at 5Dimes
Point Spread: Baltimore -2.5
Over/Under Total Line: 41.5
Moneyline: Baltimore -135 / Cleveland +115

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Baltimore Ravens: 3-4 SU 3-4 ATS
Cleveland Browns: 3-5 SU 4-4 ATS

Key Betting Trends
• BAL is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
• BAL has gone Under the posted total in 6 out of last 7 vs. the AFC North.
• BAL is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
• CLE is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• CLE is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC North.
• CLE has an Under record of 12-5 in their last 17 home games.

Sagarin Power Rankings
Baltimore Ravens: 21.74
Cleveland Browns: 17.30

Key Player Injuries

Baltimore
[NT] 10/30/2013 – Terrence Cody Prob Sunday (Knee)
[C] 10/28/2013 – Ryan Jensen Ques Sunday (Foot)
[WR] 10/28/2013 – Brandon Stokley Ques Sunday (Groin)
[LB] 10/28/2013 – Josh Bynes Ques Sunday (Finger)
[CB] 9/4/2013 – Asa Jackson Elig Week 10 (Suspension)

Cleveland
[LB] 10/30/2013 – Quentin Groves Prob Sunday (Ankle)
[DL] 10/28/2013 – Billy Winn Ques Sunday (Quadricep)
[WR] 10/29/2013 – Travis Benjamin I-R (Knee)
[DB] 10/20/2013 – Josh Aubrey I-R (Knee)
[WR] 10/16/2013 – Charles Johnson I-R (Knee)
[QB] 10/13/2013 – Brian Hoyer I-R (Knee)
[OL] 10/7/2013 – Jason Pinkston Out indefinitely (Ankle)

Next Game
Cincinnati @ Baltimore
Cleveland @ Cincinnati – Nov 17

Our Selection : So we’ve been on Baltimore for their last two losses in games that they could have/should have won, but have fallen short on both occasions. The run game that did look decent against Miami has disappeared again. They had a bye last week and the Ravens were certain to make fixing the run game a priority in practices. They do get the Browns this week who have allowed over 100 yards to their opponents in 4 straight games.
The Browns offense sure looked better with the change to Jason Campbell. The 283 passing yards by Campbell was the most allowed by the Chiefs this season. If Campbell can come anywhere near that total this week it will be a long day for the Ravens secondary. Cleveland like Baltimore has not been able to run the ball with any consistency this season, but do face the Ravens’ 13th ranked Run D, but that unit has been gashed for 140 yards or greater in 3 of their last 4.
Look for both teams to have enough success in the run game to allow the QBs enough time to go to their speed receivers. The Ravens have played to the over in 3 of their last 4 games and likewise for the Browns. We feel that trend will continue this week.
Take OVER 41.5 points at >5Dimes and get reduced juice on every play.

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