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Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays MoneyLine Pick

Time: 7:07 PM EST Tuesday April 22, 2014

Location: Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Baltimore Orioles in an AL East match up.

In their last games: The Blue Jays lost to the Cleveland Indians 6-4 and the Orioles beat the Boston Red Sox 7-6.

In their loss to the Indians the Blue Jays stranded 9 runners on base and gave up 4 runs combined in the 6th and 7th innings.

In their win over the Red Sox the Orioles scored 6 runs in the 3rd inning and overall they had 10 hits in the game.

The Blue Jays have taken 2 of 3 against the Orioles this season with the most recent being a 11-3 win in Baltimore.

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Here are some additional handicapping angles to ponder:

While the Orioles rank 5th in the majors in team batting average they only rank 23rd in runs scored.

In the last 5 games between these 2 teams in Toronto the total has gone Under 4 times.

The Blue Jays hare 40-13 in their last 53 home games against the Orioles.

The Blue Jays are 5-2 in R.A. Dickey’s last 7 home starts.

Pitching Match Up
Baltimore Orioles: Miguel Gonzalez (1-1, 6.28 ERA)
Toronto Blue Jays: R.A. Dickey (1-3, 6.26 ERA)

Betting Odds

Money Line: Orioles +124 / Blue Jays -134
Run Line: Toronto -1.5 +150
Total Line: 8.5

Straight up and Against the Point Spread Records
Baltimore Orioles: 9-9 SU / O/U 8-9 / Run Line W/L 10-8
Toronto Blue Jays: 10-9 SU / O/U 10-9 / Run Line W/L 11-8

Key Betting Trends
• BAL is 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog.
• BAL is 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
• BAL has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
• TOR is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss.
• TOR is 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
• TOR has an Over record of 7-2-1 in their last 10 home games.

Key Player Injuries

ORIOLES
J.J. Hardy SS Out Apr 21 hamstring Day-to-day
Manny Machado 3B D.L. Mar 30 knee Early May?
Nolan Reimold DH D.L. Mar 30 neck Late May?
Michael Almanzar 3B D.L. Mar 30 knee Early May?
Francisco Peguero OF D.L. Mar 30 wrist Late April?
Edgmer Escalona RP D.L. Mar 30 shoulder Out indefinitely
Troy Patton RP Suspended Dec 20 Late April

BLUE JAYS
Adam Lind DH D.L. Apr 18 back Early May?
Maicer Izturis 2B D.L. Apr 13 knee September?
Casey Janssen RP D.L. Mar 30 back Mid-May?

Moneyline Pick:

Orioles starter Miguel Gonzalez got off to a rough start in his opener being chased by the Tigers after 3.1 innings and allowing 7 runs. He’s rebounded since then with two OK starts allowing a combined 3 runs over 11 innings. He’s had some success against the Jays last season holding Toronto to 3 or fewer runs in all 5 of his starts which included 3 QS. The Jays counter with R.A. Dickey who has struggled in 3 of his 4 starts in 2014 and I don’t expect a turnaround tonight against Baltimore. Dickey made 3 starts against the Orioles in 2013 and it wasn’t pretty with 16 runs allowed over 18.2 innings. The numbers suggest a visitor win and the line value makes this a play.
Take Baltimore +125.

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